[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 122010
SWODY1
SPC AC 122009

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0309 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2005

VALID 122000Z - 131200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE
COD 20 ESE SHR 10 NE RAP 55 WNW VTN 20 WSW MHN 35 NW IML 35 E FCL 20
SSE LAR 55 SW DGW 25 NW RIW 50 ENE COD.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE
ROC 10 SW ALB 20 WSW BDL 25 ENE ISP ...CONT... 20 SW JFK 15 SSW PSB
15 ENE IND 30 S MTO 20 NW ALN 15 ENE UIN 10 SE MMO 25 WSW JXN 10 SSW
MTC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CZZ 60 SW LAS 10 N
TPH 20 WNW ELY 30 W U24 15 ESE SLC 30 WSW JAC 40 WNW SUN 40 NNE BKE
10 NNE EPH 35 NNE 4OM ...CONT... 70 NW FCA 30 NNE HLN 65 WSW MLS 45
SW DIK 35 NW HON 25 NE YKN 45 NNE OMA 35 WNW OTM 40 ENE MLI GRR OSC.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS WY AND VICINITY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SWRN NEW ENGLAND WWD INTO
CENTRAL IL...

...WY / HIGH PLAINS OF SWRN SD / THE NEB PANHANDLE...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON
MAINLY S OF SECONDARY COLD SURGE / WITHIN LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW
ACROSS WY AND PARTS OF SWRN MT.  WITH 40 KT MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS
THIS REGION AND VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT...SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELLS EXISTS.  GREATEST SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NRN WY...WHERE DAYTIME HEATING HAS CONTRIBUTED
TO MODERATE DESTABILIZATION.  DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ACROSS THIS
REGION...WITH THREAT POSSIBLY CONTINUING TROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING.
 FOR THE LATEST SHORT-TERM INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO SWOMCD
#1969.

...SWRN NEW ENGLAND WWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST / OH VALLEY STATES...
MODERATE / MAINLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW FIELD EXISTS INVOF COLD FRONT
NOW EXTENDING FROM LOWER MI WSWWD INTO NRN MO / KS...AND EWD INTO PA
/ NY / SRN NEW ENGLAND.  STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP / MOVE EWD INVOF
COLD FRONT FROM KS INTO INDIANA...WITH ANOTHER AREA OF STORMS NOW
OVER PA / NY SW OF SURFACE WARM FRONT. 

THOUGH SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DECREASE LATER THIS EVENING / OVERNIGHT
WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
SHOULD PERSIST INTO EARLY EVENING WITH THESE STORMS.

..GOSS.. 08/12/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.