[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 032010
SWODY1
SPC AC 032008

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 PM CDT WED AUG 03 2005

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM APN
MKG 10 ENE DBQ 10 NW GRI 20 NE MCK AKO 15 WNW FCL 20 ENE LAR 15 W
CDR 40 NE RAP 10 ESE FAR 20 NNE ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW SAN 10 NW RAL
40 E NID 40 S U31 35 SW ENV 45 W TWF 20 NNW DLN 60 WNW GTF 35 SSW
HVR 65 SW GGW 30 SSW REJ 15 ESE GFK 25 W RRT ...CONT... 35 NE PBG
PWM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE LHX 25 ENE 4CR
25 SSW ROW 50 NNE HOB 50 ENE AMA 15 N END 30 ESE EMP 15 SSE STJ 40 W
HLC 35 SSE LHX.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE WRN UPPER GREAT LAKES
WSWWD INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

...UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION SWWD INTO NERN CO / SERN WY...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ATTM FROM THE WRN UPPER LAKES
WSWWD INTO CENTRAL SD ATTM -- NEAR AND TO THE COOL SIDE OF SURFACE
FRONT...WHERE AIRMASS HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE.  EXPECT STORMS
TO CONTINUE INCREASING -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS CENTRAL / ERN SD --
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AS MODERATE /30 TO 40 KT/ MID-LEVEL
FLOW SHOULD ALLOW STORMS TO ORGANIZED / BECOME SEVERE. WITH STORMS
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED N OF SURFACE FRONT...EXPECT LARGE HAIL TO BE THE
MAIN SEVERE THREAT.  HOWEVER...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE -- PARTICULARLY IF STORMS CAN MOVE / DEVELOP SEWD CLOSER TO
SURFACE FRONT. 

STORMS SHOULD ALSO INCREASE / MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE WRN UPPER LAKES
REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  WITH SOMEWHAT STRONGER VERTICAL
WIND PROFILES ACROSS THIS REGION...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS MAY
EXIST -- PARTICULARLY IF STORMS ORGANIZED INTO SMALL-SCALE LINES /
BOWS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

...ERN NY / SRN NEW ENGLAND...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN WARM / MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS ACROSS ERN NY / INVOF THE HUDSON VALLEY.  WITH MODERATE NWLY
FLOW ALOFT...A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS THOUGH EARLY EVENING.

...AZ AND VICINITY...
MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS CONTRIBUTING TO AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION THIS
AFTERNOON...AND ASSOCIATED DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. 
THOUGH STORMS SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY DISORGANIZED...A FEW STRONGER
STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY STRONG / GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

..GOSS.. 08/03/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.