[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 261959
SWODY1
SPC AC 261957

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2005

VALID 262000Z - 271200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
VRB 10 W FMY ...CONT... 30 WSW HUM 45 NW GPT 35 ESE MEI 20 NNE MGM
15 E LGC 55 NW AYS SSI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NW FCA 15 W FCA 15
WNW LVM 35 ESE EVW 15 NE PUC 40 NW U17 35 SW BCE 70 NNW BIH 50 ESE
RBL EKA ...CONT... 40 S ONP 20 S SEA 35 ENE BLI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE LRD 20 S CRP
...CONT... 7R4 40 NE HEZ 25 SW UOX 25 WSW MEM 50 SSW JBR 60 SE HRO
20 SW FYV 10 NW TUL 20 WNW BVO 35 SSW EMP 10 NNW MKC 20 NW DSM 35 W
ALO 25 NW DBQ 15 WSW JVL 35 ESE JVL AZO 25 SW CAK 15 WSW PIT 30 ENE
LBE 30 NE IPT 15 NE ISP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE EHA 15 SE CSM
40 N ADM 20 NNW DUA 45 NNW DAL 70 WNW ABI 55 ENE HOB 50 N HOB 35 ESE
4CR 20 E ONM 25 N DMN 30 NNW SAD 60 NW GUP 10 NW DRO 30 WNW TAD 20
ESE EHA.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE ERN GULF COAST
STATES...

...ERN GULF COAST STATES...
SHORT WAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY MOVING EWD ACROSS MS/AL AND THE TN
VALLEY PER WV IMAGERY...WILL MOVE RATHER QUICKLY ENEWD TOWARD THE
MID ATLANTIC AND SE STATES...REACHING SC/NC REGION BY 00Z.  LARGE
SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND A BROAD
TROUGH MOVING EWD FROM THE MS VALLEY WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUATION OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ERN GULF COAST STATES.  THE FAST MOVEMENT
OF THE MS/AL TROUGH WILL FURTHER LIMIT THE INLAND RETURN OF BETTER
MOISTURE...WITH THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS BEING CONFINED TO AREAS
MAINLY FROM SERN MS TO SRN GA AND CENTRAL/NRN FL.  THE AIR MASS
ACROSS SERN LA/SERN MS TO SRN AL/WRN FL PANHANDLE IS ALREADY
MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH THE ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION EXPECTED
DOWNSTREAM INTO SRN GA TO CENTRAL FL.

EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A COLD FRONT EXTENDED 
FROM CENTRAL KY SSWWD TO SERN MS/SRN LA...WITH A CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY LOCATED FROM NWRN GA TO SRN AL AND THEN WWD TO SERN MS/SERN
LA.  THESE BOUNDARIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCI FOR
ADDITIONAL STORMS INTO THE EVENING AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH THE
UPPER TROUGHS SPREADS EWD ATOP DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS
THE ERN GULF COAST STATES.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP OVER THE NERN GULF AND SPREAD EWD INTO SRN GA AND NRN/
CENTRAL FL.  STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
THREAT.  HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADO THREATS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
CONFINED TO ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF MS TO THE FL PANHANDLE WHERE
INSTABILITY IS THE STRONGEST.

..PETERS.. 04/26/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.