[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 280107
SWODY1
SPC AC 280105

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0805 PM CDT MON SEP 27 2004

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE
SAV 45 SE CAE 35 SE SPA 20 SE GSO 50 NNW RWI 25 ENE ECG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE ELP 35 NNE ALM
20 NNE TCS 50 WNW ONM 40 ESE FMN 15 SW CEZ 15 NW U17 25 WSW BCE 50
SSE SLC SLC 50 SE EKO 35 S OWY 65 NE BOI 45 SSW 27U 35 WNW COD 40 S
GCC 10 SSW GLD 10 NNW GRI 30 ESE SUX 60 ENE OMA 55 SE OMA FNB P28
LTS 55 S AUS 55 SSE LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S SAV 40 S CAE 20
WNW CAE 35 ESE AND 40 WSW GSO 25 S CHO 25 NNW ILG 20 NE NEL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ERN
CAROLINAS...

...ERN HALF OF THE CAROLINAS...
T.D. JEANNE -- NOW CENTERED OVER CENTRAL GA -- CONTINUES MOVING
SLOWLY NNEWD TOWARD SC ATTM.  NE OF JEANNE...COASTAL FRONT HAS MOVED
INLAND AND EXTENDS FROM ROUGHLY AGS TO RDU.  AIRMASS NEAR AND E OF
THIS BOUNDARY REMAINS VERY MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE /MID 70S
DEWPOINTS AND 500 TO 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE/.  STRONGEST BAND
ASSOCIATED WITH JEANNE EXTENDS ROUGHLY SSE-NNW ACROSS ERN SC
ATTM...WITH MORE ISOLATED CELLS N AND E OF THIS BAND.  

ALTHOUGH WIND FIELD REMAINS FAVORABLE N AND E OF THE CENTER OF
JEANNE...FLOW IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN WITH TIME. 
ADDITIONALLY...LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN SOME
STABILIZATION OF AIRMASS.  THESE TWO FACTORS SUGGEST THAT THREAT
SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE WITH TIME...PARTICULARLY AFTER 28/06Z.

IN THE MEAN TIME...TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE WITH ISOLATED
ROTATING STORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ERN CAROLINAS -- AND PERHAPS
WITHIN MAIN CONVECTIVE BAND OVER ERN SC.

..GOSS.. 09/28/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.