[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Mon Sep 27 15:45:44 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 271542
SWODY1
SPC AC 271540

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 AM CDT MON SEP 27 2004

VALID 271630Z - 281200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE
CRE CHS 30 SE AGS CAE 35 SSW SOP FAY 10 SSW ILM 15 SSE CRE.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE
SSI AYS 55 SSW AGS 30 WNW CAE 50 NNW RWI 25 SE ORF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE APN 10 SW OSH
20 SSW ALO 20 WNW FNB 35 SW P28 60 S CDS 20 NE HDO 20 E CRP
...CONT... 30 W ELP ONM 35 NNE CEZ 10 W PUC 30 NW ENV 65 ESE 4LW 20
SSE MFR 30 WNW MFR 25 SW SLE 25 SSE PDX 35 WSW PDT 50 SE S80 10 ENE
MQM 30 SSW SHR 30 ENE ATY 10 SE DLH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N PIE 35 S GNV GNV
MGR 30 W MCN 55 S PSK 25 S CHO 10 S BWI 20 N PHL 20 NE NEL.

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
PARTS OF EASTERN SC AND SOUTHEAST NC...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST...

REMNANTS OF JEANNE ARE OVER SOUTHERN GA THIS MORNING...AND WILL
AFFECT THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A RISK OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES.  ELSEWHERE...RATHER QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
PRECLUDE A RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS.

...GA/SC/NC...
CENTER OF JEANNE IS NEAR ALBANY GA AND WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD
TODAY. WIDESPREAD CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT DESTABILIZATION OVER
MUCH OF GA AND WESTERN SC THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...LATEST
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS BETWEEN CONVECTIVE
BANDS OVER EASTERN SC. THIS AREA IS ALONG A LOW LEVEL MOIST AXIS
WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID 70S.  PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT
PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN SC AND SOUTHEAST NC MAY SEE ISOLATED
MINI-SUPERCELLS THROUGH MUCH OF DAY.  STRONG LOW LEVEL VERTICAL
SHEAR PROFILES /ENHANCED NEAR WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARIES/ COUPLED WITH
FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SUGGEST A THREAT OF TORNADOES IN
THIS AREA.  LOWER SURFACE DEWPOINTS FARTHER WEST OVER NORTHERN GA
AND WESTERN SC/NC SHOULD PRECLUDE SEVERE THREAT.

..HART/BANACOS.. 09/27/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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