[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 270020
SWODY1
SPC AC 270019

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0719 PM CDT SUN SEP 26 2004

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE
TLH ABY 40 SSE MCN 40 SSW AGS 25 ENE CHS ...CONT... 25 N MLB 35 W
ORL 15 SSW CTY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S WRL 10 ESE LND
10 WSW SUN 20 ENE BOI 90 NW OWY 45 WSW BNO 45 NE RDM 10 NW ALW 45 E
HLN 20 SE 3HT 15 S WRL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW DUG 45 WSW FMN
25 SW ASE 55 ENE CAG 20 ENE CYS 25 S SNY 20 E LIC 15 E LAA 20 NE GCK
35 ESE DDC 40 NE GAG 25 N CDS 45 NE SJT 15 NE COT 40 NNE BRO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM PFN 35 WNW ABY 10 N
MCN 20 NE ECG.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS NRN FL / S CENTRAL AND SERN GA
/ FAR SERN SC...

...NRN FL PENINSULA / S CENTRAL AND SERN GA / FAR SERN SC...
JEANNE...NOW CENTERED OVER THE NWRN FL PENINSULA APPROXIMATELY 45
SSE CTY...CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NNWWD.  LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER INDICATE THAT THE STORM WILL CURVE MORE
NWD WITH TIME AND APPROACH THE FL / GA BORDER NEAR THE END OF THE
PERIOD.

VERY MOIST AIRMASS HAS BEEN ADVECTED WWD INTO NRN FL / S GA...WHERE
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MEAN-LAYER CAPE NEAR
250 J/KG.  THIS COMBINED WITH VERY FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD
/35 TO 45 KTS SFC-1 KM SHEAR AND 500 TO 600 M2/S2 SFC-1 KM HELICITY
ACCORDING TO AREA VWPS/ SUGGEST THAT THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
WILL CONTINUE.

GREATEST THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST WITHIN PRONOUNCED BAND EXTENDING
ATTM FROM OFF THE NERN FL COAST NWWD INTO THE JAX AREA AND THEN WWD
ALONG THE FL / GA BORDER.  SEVERAL OF THE STRONGER CONVECTIVE CELLS
WITHIN THIS BAND HAVE CONTAINED LOW-LEVEL VELOCITY COUPLETS...AND
THIS SCENARIO SHOULD CONTINUE AS THIS BAND SHIFTS NWD WITH TIME.

..GOSS.. 09/27/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.