[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sun Sep 26 19:40:33 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 261938
SWODY1
SPC AC 261936

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0236 PM CDT SUN SEP 26 2004

VALID 262000Z - 271200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM VRB 30
W AGR 25 N PIE ...CONT... 30 S TLH ABY 35 SW AGS 20 E CHS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW DUG 45 WSW FMN
35 W MTJ 35 S RWL 10 NE LAR 35 E FCL 30 SW LIC 10 NE LAA 35 NE GCK
35 ESE DDC 50 W END 30 ESE LTS 30 NNW TYR 35 NE LFK 20 NNE BPT 20 S
BPT ...CONT... 20 WNW PFN 30 SE CSG 20 NNE FAY 20 NE ECG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW CMX 50 N EAU
10 S FSD 25 SSE MHE 30 NE 9V9 40 WSW ABR 40 S JMS 10 E RRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW SHR 15 NNW LND
60 W BPI 45 SW TWF 90 SE BNO 30 NW BNO 70 NE RDM 30 WNW PDT 30 ESE
GTF 50 N BIL 30 NW SHR.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF FL...GA AND SC...

...FL/GA/SC...
LATEST REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC SHOWED THE CENTER OF JEANNE
APPROXIMATELY 50 NNE PIE MOVING NWWD AT 10 MPH. PER LATEST NHC
GUIDANCE...A CONTINUED NWWD TRACK IS FORECAST THROUGH REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...PRIOR TO TURNING MORE NLY TOWARD
THE GA BORDER OVERNIGHT. CURRENTLY...THE MOST FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR MINI SUPERCELLS AND BRIEF TORNADOES EXISTS OVER THE NERN FL
PENINSULA WHERE A MARITIME TROPICAL AIRMASS AND RESULTANT POCKETS OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY /I.E. MLCAPES OF AROUND 1000 J/KG/ ARE
CO-LOCATED WITH REGION OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /0-1 KM SRH OF
300-400 M2/S2 PER JACKSONVILLE VWP/. GIVEN CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...
EXPECT THIS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO SHIFT INLAND AND NWD WITH TIME
WITH TORNADO THREAT INCREASING ACROSS THE N-CNTRL PENINSULA AND
ADJACENT PARTS OF SERN AND S-CNTRL GA.

FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT TERM GUIDANCE...PLEASE SEE MCD 2263.

..MEAD.. 09/26/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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