[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 241606
SWODY1
SPC AC 241604

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1104 AM CDT FRI SEP 24 2004

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW FHU 65 SSW SOW
55 ENE SOW 40 NNW GNT 35 SSE DRO 45 SSW GUC 35 N MTJ 60 WSW CAG 45
SSE RWL 35 N LAR 45 W MHN 30 SW BBW 35 N HLC 25 NW GCK 60 E DHT 40
NE PVW 15 NE CDS 10 NE LTS 35 SSW JLN 40 NE SGF 45 NNW POF 30 S CGI
30 ENE DYR 35 S MKL 35 WSW UOX 45 W GLH 25 ESE MLU 15 ENE BTR 15 WSW
BVE.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NM/WEST TX...
BROAD...WEAK UPPER TROUGH PERSISTS OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES
TODAY...WITH ASSOCIATED POOL OF COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES OVER
MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS /-10 TO -14C
AT 500MB/.  EASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL MAINTAIN 50S TO LOWER 60S
DEWPOINTS ALONG THE NM/TX BORDER THIS AFTERNOON.  STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND AT LEAST POCKETS OF SUBSTANTIAL DAYTIME HEATING WILL
RESULT IN MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 1000 J/KG AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT.  VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE RATHER WEAK...SUGGESTING
THAT ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN MOSTLY MULTICELLULAR. 
HOWEVER...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE FAVORABLE FOR HAIL OR GUSTY
WINDS IN STRONGER CELLS.  ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH BY MID EVENING AS
DIURNAL COOLING SETS IN.

...EAST TX/WESTERN LA...
REMNANT TROPICAL CIRCULATION IS NEAR LFK THIS MORNING...WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND NORTHEAST OF CENTER.  LOCAL VAD
PROFILES SHOW MARGINAL LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES FOR
TROPICAL TORNADOES.  HOWEVER...POTENTIAL FOR DAYTIME HEATING BETWEEN
CONVECTIVE BANDS AND ENHANCED SHEAR NEAR CIRCULATION CENTER WARRANT
LOW TORNADO PROBABILITIES TODAY.

..HART/BANACOS.. 09/24/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.