[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 161948
SWODY1
SPC AC 161943

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

VALID 162000Z - 171200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW
MCN 20 SSE ATL 30 SE RMG 25 ENE RMG 65 NW AHN 20 NNE AND 20 SSW CAE
55 NNE AYS 40 NE MGR 10 ENE ABY 25 WSW MCN.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE
JAX 45 SSE CTY ...CONT... 25 S CEW 30 WSW AUO 40 SSE BHM 40 SW HSV
35 S BNA 40 NNE TYS 45 NNE CLT 25 SW FAY 25 ENE CRE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW GDP 30 WNW HOB
50 S DHT 35 ENE LAA 35 SW IML 30 NNW MCK 30 S EAR 20 SSW SLN 25 N
PNC 20 NW TUL 20 NNE FYV 40 SE TBN 15 SW SLO 30 NNE IND 20 ENE TOL
...CONT... 20 NW EFK 10 S GFL 30 NE MSV 35 SW ABE 15 NW DCA 15 ESE
CHO 55 SW RIC 45 E RWI 10 N HSE ...CONT... 25 WSW PNS 70 NNE MOB 45
WSW TCL 40 WNW MSL 25 WSW BNA 10 SW HOP 35 SSW PAH 30 W DYR TXK 20
WSW TYR 30 SW CLL 35 S VCT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE INL 15 WSW HIB
20 ESE BRD 30 W STC 50 SSW AXN 25 WNW ABR 10 E BIS 75 NW MOT.

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND ERN
GA AND ADJACENT WRN SC...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
SOUTHEAST...

...THE SOUTHEAST...
IVAN HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM /PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC
PRODUCTS FOR MORE DETAILS/ BUT A LARGE AREA OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL WIND
FIELD PERSISTS AROUND THIS STORM.

WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION / CLOUD COVER SURROUNDING THE CENTER OF
IVAN /NOW LOCATED OVER CENTRAL AL/ CONTINUES TO LIMIT AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY.  HOWEVER...FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR OVER A LARGE AREA
SUGGESTS A FAIRLY LARGE AREA OF LOW-PROBABILITY TORNADO THREAT
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.

MOST UNSTABLE AIRMASS PERSISTS FROM CENTRAL AND NERN GA EWD INTO SC.
 ATTM...GREATEST TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST WITHIN THIS
INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS CENTRAL AND ERN GA.  AS IVAN MOVES SLOWLY
NEWD WITH TIME...EXPECT GREATEST TORNADO THREAT TO LIKEWISE SPREAD
SLOWLY EWD / NEWD INTO SC.

..GOSS.. 09/16/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.