[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 161628
SWODY1
SPC AC 161623

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

VALID 161630Z - 171200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE
CSG 35 S ANB 15 NW ANB 20 WSW RMG 35 NW AHN 25 W CAE 35 E AGS 55 NNE
AYS 25 NE MGR ABY 20 SE CSG.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S
CEW 20 W TOI 50 WNW BHM 35 S BNA 45 NNE TYS 40 WSW GSO 25 SW FAY 25
ENE CRE ...CONT... 20 SE JAX 45 SSE CTY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW EFK 10 S GFL 30
NE MSV 35 SW ABE 15 NW DCA SHD ROA 35 SE PSK 15 E RDU 35 ESE RWI 10
N HSE ...CONT... 25 WSW PNS 70 NNE MOB 45 WSW TCL 40 WNW MSL 25 WSW
BNA 10 SW HOP 35 SSW PAH 30 W DYR TXK 20 WSW TYR 30 SW CLL 35 S VCT
...CONT... 70 SSW GDP 30 WNW HOB 50 S DHT 35 WSW GLD 20 W IML 25 WSW
BBW 15 WSW GRI 20 SSW SLN 25 N PNC 20 NW TUL 20 NNE FYV 40 SE TBN 15
SW SLO 25 NW MIE 35 NE MTC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE INL 15 WSW HIB
20 ESE BRD 30 W STC 50 SSW AXN 25 WNW ABR 10 E BIS 75 NW MOT.

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM E-CENTRAL AL ACROSS CENTRAL
GA INTO PART OF W-CENTRAL SC...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST...

...SOUTHEAST...
REFERENCE WW/S 828...829...830 AND LATEST SWOMCD PRODUCTS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.  CENTER OF IVAN APPEARS TO BE OVER DALLAS COUNTY AL
AT 16Z MOVING NWD AT 15-20 KT. LARGE AREA OF ENHANCED SHEAR EXTENDS
EAST OF CIRCULATION CENTER ACROSS MUCH OF ERN AL INTO GA WHERE LOW
LEVEL HELICITIES IN EXCESS OF 250 M2/S2 WILL BE COMMON.  LATEST
SURFACE ANALYSES INDICATES WELL DEFINED E-W ORIENTED SURFACE FRONT
EXTENDS FROM SERN NC WSWWD INTO CENTRAL GA...SOUTH OF WHICH AN AXIS
OF 80+F TEMPERATURES IS ENHANCING INSTABILITY. EXPECT A
CONCENTRATED ZONE OF SHORT-LIVED SUPERCELL TORNADOES INTO CENTRAL GA
AND E-CENTRAL AL ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS FRONT WHERE GREATEST
COMBINATION OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE COLLOCATED. 
OUTSIDE OF THIS AXIS...ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
STRONGER CELLS ROTATING AROUND IVAN AS IT LIFTS NNEWD INTO THE SRN
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT.

..EVANS/GUYER.. 09/16/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.