[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 161240
SWODY1
SPC AC 161235

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

VALID 161300Z - 171200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW
PNS 60 NNE MOB 15 SSW MSL 40 SW BNA 20 WNW TYS 25 WSW HKY 40 SSE SPA
40 WNW JAX 60 N PIE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE GPT 35 NW LUL
20 S GWO 30 N GLH 25 NE TXK 20 WSW TYR 20 ENE AUS 40 NE CRP
...CONT... 25 SSW P07 25 ENE HOB 40 WSW DHT 15 ENE AKO 25 SW MHN 30
ESE ANW 30 N GRI 25 SSE HSI 20 NE ICT 30 NNW BVO 20 WSW UMN 25 SE
TBN BLV 40 NE LAF 55 SE OSC ...CONT... 20 WNW EFK 25 SE GFL 30 NE
MSV 35 SW ABE 15 NW DCA SHD ROA 35 SE PSK 15 E RDU 35 ESE RWI 10 N
HSE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NW CMX 10 N IWD 40
N EAU MSP 50 SSW AXN 30 N ABR 45 E BIS 75 NW MOT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E ISP ORH 20 S
PWM.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN
GULF COAST STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...

...ERN GULF COAST STATES INTO SRN APPALACHIANS...
ALTHOUGH HURRICANE IVAN WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN OVERALL
STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NNE AND FARTHER INLAND TODAY ACROSS AL...THE
ASSOCIATED STRONG/LARGE WIND FIELD TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF IVAN
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE TORNADO POTENTIAL.  AREA VADS AND 12Z
SOUNDINGS INDICATED 0-1 KM SRH VALUES RANGING FROM 500-1000 M2/S2
SUPPORTING STORM ROTATION WITH ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS WITHIN THIS
TROPICAL AIR MASS.

...OH VALLEY INTO LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION...
STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER ONTARIO AND THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NEWD TODAY INTO QUEBEC.  TRAILING COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY.  ALTHOUGH
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...WEAK LAPSE
RATES LIMITING INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH WEAK UPPER FORCING SHOULD
PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS.

..PETERS/BANACOS.. 09/16/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.