[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 120049
SWODY1
SPC AC 120045

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2004

VALID 120100Z - 121200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE 4LW 40 NNW 4LW
65 NNE LMT 30 SSW RDM 30 ENE RDM 20 SSE LWS 50 NNE S80 50 SW MSO 60
E S80 50 SE S80 55 SSE BKE 40 NNE 4LW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NW FCA 60 WNW FCA
30 N 3TH 30 WNW S06 40 NE GEG 35 N 63S.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CZZ 15 NW EDW 10 E
BIH 45 SSW U31 40 SE BAM 55 N ENV 35 N OGD 15 ESE VEL 15 WSW MTJ 30
SSE DRO 20 WSW 4SL 30 SW GNT 30 W SOW 35 WNW PHX 30 WNW GBN 60 ESE
YUM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE DRT 20 SSW JCT
50 E JCT 25 WSW AUS 35 N VCT 30 WSW GLS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW HUM 35 N MCB
15 ESE UOX 40 ENE MKL 15 SE CKV 20 NNW BNA 35 E BNA 50 SE BNA 30 S
HSV 15 SW BHM 45 SSE BHM 15 S LGC 45 WSW AGS 35 SW FLO 25 ENE ECG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 E OSC 40 NW MKG 10
N LNR 20 ENE LSE 35 NNW VOK 40 S IMT 15 NE ESC 50 ENE MQT 80 NNE
MQT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W RRT 30 ENE DVL
45 ESE MOT 35 W P24 15 NE ISN 60 N ISN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SW DESERT...
SCATTERED STRONG STORMS ARE CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS SERN CA AND SRN
NV. THE ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
EXTENDING NWD FROM NRN BAJA CA. WV IMAGERY SHOWS A MID-LEVEL SHEAR
AXIS ACROSS SCNTRL CA AND SRN NV. THIS FEATURE APPEARS TO BE
ENHANCING LARGE-SCALE LIFT AND THIS MAY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS RELATIVELY WEAK 0-6 KM SHEAR AND THIS WILL LIMIT THE
SEVERE POTENTIAL OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE MODERATE
INSTABILITY...A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT MAY CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE
HOURS. AS INSTABILITY DECREASES...THE MARGINAL THREAT WILL DIMINISH
BY LATE EVENING.

...GREAT LAKES...
A CONVECTIVE LINE IS CURRENTLY ONGOING ALONG A COLD FRONT ORIENTED
FROM THE ERN UP OF MI EXTENDING SWWD INTO FAR ERN WI. THE ACTIVITY
IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A VORTICITY MAX EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY OVER
LAKE SUPERIOR. THE STORMS ARE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF 
A 70 KT MID-LEVEL JET CENTERED OVER ERN ONTARIO. THIS JET IS
CREATING STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WHICH COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY
IN PLACE IS RESULTING IN A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WITH THE LINE. THE
THREAT SHOULD LAST FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO HOWEVER...THE INSTABILITY
WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE ALLOWING THE SEVERE THREAT TO DIMINISH
ACROSS THE REGION BY 03Z.

..BROYLES.. 09/12/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.