[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 110037
SWODY1
SPC AC 110032

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2004

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W ANJ 25 SE CWA 35
SW LSE OFK 30 SE LBF 45 NNE CAO 50 NNW LVS 40 NE INW 60 WNW PHX 70
SSW GBN ...CONT... 15 W CZZ 25 SE RAL 25 WSW DAG 45 NNE DAG 30 W MLF
30 S RKS 35 S CPR 50 SSE 81V 35 SSW MBG 30 SSE JMS 30 W RRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW COT 30 SSW SAT
60 SE AUS 30 N GLS 20 WNW 7R4 35 NNE MSY 65 NNW PNS 40 SSW AHN 45 NW
FLO 40 N HSE.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...UPPER MS VALLEY...

00Z SOUNDINGS FROM THE NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY EXHIBIT A FAIRLY
STOUT CAP AROUND 800MB.  IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER
HEATING ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...THIS HAS EFFECTIVELY PREVENTED
SFC-BASED CONVECTION AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.  A FEW WEAK UPPER VORT
MAXIMA ARE...HOWEVER...LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
TOWARD THIS REGION ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. 
DEEP CONVECTION TRAILS THE LEAD VORT WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY
WELL SW INTO SERN WY/NRN CO.  CONVECTION HAS STRUGGLED TO DEVELOP
ALONG FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS ERN ND...AND GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF COOLING
NEEDED TO ALLOW PARCELS TO REACH THEIR LFC...IT APPEARS POST FRONTAL
CONVECTION MAY BE WHERE INITIATION OCCURS...OR PERHAPS ACROSS NRN MN
WHERE MUCH WEAKER INHIBITION IS OBSERVED...PER INL SOUNDING.  IF
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WOULD FAVOR LOW
PROBABILITIES FOR HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS.

..DARROW.. 09/11/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.