[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 071936
SWODY1
SPC AC 071931

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0231 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2004

VALID 072000Z - 081200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW
CTY 30 NW AYS 15 NW AND 20 W HKY 40 WSW GSO 20 NW GSB 35 SE EWN
...CONT... DAB 15 N PIE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE YUM 45 E YUM 45
ESE GBN TUS 15 S FHU ...CONT... 35 SSE LRD 35 NNW VCT 50 NW BPT 25 N
LCH 15 SSW 7R4 ...CONT... 15 WNW PFN 35 NE DHN 10 WNW LGC 10 N RMG
40 ENE CHA 20 NNE HSS 35 SSW BLF 10 NNW BLF 30 SSW CRW 25 NW 5I3 20
NNE LOZ 50 ESE BWG 25 ESE CKV 40 N HOP 45 WSW DAY 20 WSW CLE
...CONT... 15 N HUL 25 ESE MPV 40 ESE UCA 30 NNW CXY 20 E MRB 15 N
NHK 15 NE DOV 10 W BDR 15 ENE HYA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW ATY 30 NNW YKN
25 NNE MHN 30 W MHN 20 SSE AKO 10 NE FCL 25 NNE LAR 10 NNW GCC 40 S
MLS 20 ESE GDV 50 SSE JMS 30 NNW ATY.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS NRN FL AND THE SOUTHEAST...

...NRN FL/SOUTHEAST...
OTHER THAN A VERY GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THE OVERALL CYCLONIC FLOW
FIELD AROUND THE ERN SEMICIRCLE OF T.D. FRANCES...THE SLOW MOVEMENT
OF THE SYSTEM WOULD SUGGEST ALMOST STEADY-STATE CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST FROM NRN FL/ERN GA ACROSS SC AND SRN/CNTRL NC INTO THIS
EVENING. LATEST VWP DATA FROM ACROSS THE REGION CONTINUES TO SHOW
WIND DIRECTION VEERING STRONGLY WITH HEIGHT IN THE LOWER LEVELS
RESULTING IN ENLARGED HODOGRAPHS AND 0-1KM SRH ON THE ORDER OF
250-500 M2/S2. DESPITE WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND AREAS OF HEAVY
RAIN...POCKETS OF GREATER INSTABILITY AND FORCING WITHIN CONFLUENT
FEEDER BANDS CONTINUE TO PROMOTE EMBEDDED CELLULAR CONVECTION. GIVEN
THE ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR...SOME OF THE STRONGER AND MORE PERSISTENT
UPDRAFTS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ROTATION AND OCCASIONALLY SPAWN
TORNADOES. CONSULT SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS AND TORNADO WATCHES FOR
ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM FORECAST INFO.

..CARBIN.. 09/07/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.