[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sat Sep 4 00:53:10 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 040052
SWODY1
SPC AC 040048

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT FRI SEP 03 2004

VALID 040100Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NW CMX 25 SW HIB
25 NE AXN 65 W YKN 30 WSW MCK 40 N TCC 20 W 4CR 35 S DMN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW GBN 75 NW GBN
20 NNW IGM 20 ESE LAS 65 NE DAG 20 ENE NID 55 NNW NID 15 WNW BIH 35
SW U31 35 SE EKO 35 SSE JAC 55 NNE SHR 60 NNE ISN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE DRT 20 NW AUS
35 NNW ELD 35 SSE CGI 25 S DNV 25 S ANJ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW BUF 20 S LBE 15
NW BLF 15 N ATL 30 E CEW 20 ENE AQQ 20 NNE CTY 20 W SAV 35 N CHS 35
NE CRE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W EPM 30 NNW BML.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN PLAINS...

UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL LIFT NEWD ACROSS SASKATCHEWAN WITH
TRAILING INFLUENCE OF THIS FEATURE EXPECTED TO BRUSH THE NRN PLAINS
LATER TONIGHT. 00Z SOUNDINGS ACROSS THIS REGION REFLECT A WARM
ADVECTION REGIME THAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROVIDE SUFFICIENT ASCENT
FOR MID LEVEL CONVECTION TO THE W-N OF THE WIND SHIFT. IT REMAINS
TO BE SEEN...AND SEEMS RATHER REMOTE...WHETHER BOUNDARY LAYER
PARCELS WILL BE FORCED TO THEIR LFC ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS.  IF
BOUNDARY LAYER CONVECTION DEVELOPS THERE APPEARS TO BE AT LEAST A
LOW PROBABILITY FOR HAIL OR GUSTY WINDS.

...AZ...

STRENGTHENING UPPER SPEED MAX ON DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF SHORTWAVE WILL
EJECT ACROSS THE 4-CORNERS REGION LATE TONIGHT...RESULTING IN
PROGRESSIVELY DRY PROFILES ACROSS THIS REGION. IN THE SHORT
TERM...ISOLATED STRONG/HIGH BASED MULTI-CELLS...OR PERHAPS A WEAK
SUPERCELL WILL SPREAD ACROSS ECNTRL AZ OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT.

..DARROW.. 09/04/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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