[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 241953
SWODY1
SPC AC 241951

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2004

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE CRP 20 S LRD
...CONT... 70 SE ELP 25 SW HOB 30 ESE CDS 45 NE OKC 40 S CNU 20 N
UMN 40 ESE HRO 20 WSW PBF 30 NNE BTR 35 SW GPT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W BFL 20 SSW MER
35 NNE SAC 25 ESE SVE 20 SE WMC 35 ESE EKO 40 SW DPG 30 NNE MLF 35
SE MLF 20 E SGU 55 E NID 20 W BFL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...TX...
REMNANTS OF COLD FRONT WHICH MOVED SWD INTO TX LAST NIGHT -- NOW
EXTENDING FROM ROUGHLY LFK NNWWD ACROSS THE DFW METROPLEX INTO
CENTRAL OK -- WILL CONTINUE RETREATING NEWD WITH TIME. 

MEANWHILE...SLIGHTLY ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
WITHIN WARM SECTOR IN BROAD / WEAK WARM ADVECTION REGIME BECOMING
ESTABLISHED OVER THE SRN PLAINS.  LIMITED HEATING CONTINUES E OF A
LINE FROM ROUGHLY DRT TO SEP...WHICH MAY ALLOW STORMS TO BECOME
INCREASINGLY SURFACE-BASED WITH TIME.  

ALTHOUGH CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE...
RELATIVELY WEAK LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL WIND FIELD SHOULD LIMIT
SEVERE POTENTIAL.  THOUGH A FEW MULTICELL / WEAK SUPERCELL STORMS
MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS OR MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL...UPGRADE
TO SLIGHT RISK DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE NECESSARY ATTM.  FOR ADDITIONAL
SHORT-TERM INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO SWOMCD 2360.

MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WITH ELEVATED STORMS SHOULD SPREAD NWD INTO
THE RED RIVER VALLEY REGION OVERNIGHT AS MODEST LOW-LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS...THOUGH WEAK LAPSE RATES SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIMIT HAIL
POTENTIAL.

..GOSS.. 10/24/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.