[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 090703
SWODY1
SPC AC 090701

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0201 AM CDT SAT OCT 09 2004

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE BLI 25 E PDX
20 SSE SLE 30 S ONP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N BIH 60 SE TVL 10
NW RNO 40 W OWY 40 SSE TWF 45 WSW MLD 50 SW ENV 60 N BIH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S BPT 45 ESE LFK
10 W LFK 20 NNW TPL 50 NE JCT 35 S JCT 35 W ALI 35 WNW MFE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW GDP 25 WNW ALM
20 SSW SAF 50 NNE SAF 20 WSW EHA 35 SW ICT 25 NW JLN 35 SE HRO 50 NE
LIT 25 SW HSV 25 SE RMG 20 SSE AHN 40 SSE AGS 25 E SAV.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL GULF COAST...

TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW SHOULD CONTINUE ITS NEWD MOVEMENT TOWARD THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.  WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION
EXPECTED...VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY GRADUALLY
INCREASE ALONG THE LA/MS COAST AS CENTER OF CIRCULATION APPROACHES
THE COAST VERY LATE IN THE PERIOD.  ONGOING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
FROM THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL INHIBIT
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE CONTINENTAL
TRAJECTORIES INTO THIS REGION. HIGHER THETA-E AIRMASS SHOULD SPREAD
INLAND IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF CIRCULATION WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR STRONG
UPDRAFTS EMBEDDED WITHIN BROADER ZONE OF CONVECTION.  AS A
RESULT...THERE APPEARS TO BE AT LEAST LOW PROBABILITIES FOR DAMAGING
WINDS OR ISOLATED TORNADOES.

...WRN U.S...

APPROACHING UPPER JET WILL DIG SEWD INTO CA ALLOWING TROUGH AXIS TO
MOVE SEWD INTO THE NRN GREAT BASIN LATE IN THE PERIOD. STRONG
BAROCLINIC ZONE THAT DEVELOPS OVER NV MAY AID CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS.  OTHERWISE...ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP ALONG THE WA/ORE COAST AS STEEPER LAPSE
RATES SPREAD ACROSS POST FRONTAL MARINE AIRMASS.

..DARROW/JEWELL.. 10/09/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.