[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 090033
SWODY1
SPC AC 090032

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 PM CDT FRI OCT 08 2004

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE GLS GGG 25 WSW
MKO 40 E BVO 40 W TBN 40 ESE VIH 30 N POF 10 E ARG 50 SSW JBR 45 NNE
GLH 40 NNE JAN 25 ENE LUL 55 NE MOB 35 SSE CEW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE MTC 10 NW MKG
15 S GRB 30 NW ESC 85 NE MQT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WNW MRF 30 NNE INK
40 SE LBB 30 NW CDS 25 S GAG 45 NE CSM 45 SW ADM 15 ESE FTW 10 WSW
ACT 50 NNW SAT 55 SE DRT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN LA...

EARLY THIS EVENING...VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY
STRONG ACROSS SRN LA TO SUPPORT SUSTAINED ROTATING UPDRAFTS...PER
00Z LIX SOUNDING.  THIS WARM ADVECTION PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERATE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION FROM THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO...NWD
INTO SERN AR.  THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE QUITE SATURATED WITH WEAK
LAPSE RATES SUGGESTING THE PROSPECT FOR LIGHTNING MAY BE LIMITED. 
EVEN SO...AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR PERHAPS A DAMAGING WIND GUST MAY
ACCOMPANY EMBEDDED DISCRETE UPDRAFTS AS THEY APPROACH THE COAST THE
REST OF THE PERIOD.

...SWRN TX...

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL SOON DECREASE IN INTENSITY...AND
WITH TIME DISSIPATE AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL
SPREAD GENERALLY SSEWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS INTO THE HILL COUNTRY
BEFORE WEAKENING.

...GREAT LAKES...

STRONGLY FORCED BAND OF CONVECTION WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDS ALONG THE WIND SHIFT FROM THE U.P. OF MI...SWD ACROSS NRN
LAKE MI.  SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT FALLS AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE NORTH OF
CYCLONIC JET SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF NRN LOWER MI AND ERN U.P. OF MI THIS EVENING.  DESPITE
STRONG FLOW ALOFT...INSUFFICIENT INSTABILITY APPEARS TO BE THE MAIN
IMPEDIMENT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

..DARROW.. 10/09/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.