[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 080517
SWODY1
SPC AC 080515

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 AM CDT FRI OCT 08 2004

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW MRF 10 N INK 70
S CDS 25 NE LTS 30 SSW PNC 55 NNE SZL 35 ENE DBQ 20 NNE MSN 20 NW
IMT 60 NNE CMX ...CONT... 20 NW ROC 20 NE JHW 25 N YNG 30 WNW MFD 10
E HUF 25 W MVN 25 N POF 30 WNW ARG 60 N LIT PBF 20 N JAN 45 SE MEI
10 ENE CEW 20 ESE PFN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NWRN GULF COAST...

SRN PORTION OF UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME SUFFICIENTLY DETACHED FROM
STRONGER WLY FLOW SUCH THAT A SLOW EVOLUTION TOWARD A CLOSED
CIRCULATION MAY EVOLVE NEAR THE RED RIVER LATE IN THE PERIOD.  THIS
PATTERN WILL FAVOR A BROAD ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION FROM THE WRN GULF
OF MEXICO...NWD INTO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY REGION.  LARGE SCALE
ASCENT ACTING ON A DEEPLY SATURATED AIRMASS WILL UNDOUBTEDLY RESULT
IN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION PREVENTING SIGNIFICANT DESTABILIZATION.  IN
THE ABSENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR OR SUBSTANTIAL
INSTABILITY...IT APPEARS THE PROSPECT FOR STRONG OR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MINIMIZED.  HOWEVER...VERY MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER...SFC DEW POINTS IN EXCESS OF 70F...WILL HOLD FROM PORTIONS OF
SRN LA INTO THE NRN GULF.  AS A RESULT...WILL MAINTAIN A LOW
PROBABILITY FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OR PERHAPS A TORNADO AS
WEAK SFC LOW APPROACHES THE COAST LATE IN THE PERIOD.

..DARROW/BOTHWELL.. 10/08/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.