[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Oct 8 00:22:21 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 080021
SWODY1
SPC AC 080019

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0719 PM CDT THU OCT 07 2004

VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 W MIA 10 S MIA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE ELP 40 WSW ROW
35 ESE TCC 50 SSE DDC 10 SSW BIE 10 SW SUX 15 W MSP 85 NW CMX
...CONT... 35 SE OSC 15 W FWA 25 ENE MDH 55 ENE LIT 45 WNW JAN 30 E
GPT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW MFE 25 NE COT
40 NW TPL 15 N BWD SJT 50 ESE P07.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...TX TO MID MS VALLEY...

LARGE SCALE ASCENT APPEARS TO BE FOCUSING DEEPER CONVECTION FROM THE
UPPER TX COAST...NWD ACROSS AR INTO MO.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND LIFT NEWD AHEAD OF LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT IS
SHIFTING EWD ACROSS THE PLAINS.  IN THE WAKE OF THIS
FEATURE...ISOLATED...MAINLY TERRAIN INDUCED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SLOWLY WEAKEN ACROSS THE BIG BEND REGION OF TX WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING.  00Z SOUNDINGS WITHIN THE DEEPER PLUME OF ASCENT REFLECT A
VERY MOIST PROFILE CHARACTERIZED BY WEAK LAPSE RATES AND ONLY
MARGINAL VERTICAL SHEAR.  SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT
ANY PROBABILITIES FOR HAIL/WIND...OR TORNADOES THE REST OF THE
PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 10/08/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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