[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 191950
SWODY1
SPC AC 191949

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0149 PM CST FRI NOV 19 2004

VALID 192000Z - 201200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 N BRO COT 55 WNW
AUS 20 NW TYR SHV 10 W MCB 40 S GPT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...COASTAL SERN TX...
ONSET OF WEAK WARM ADVECTION HAS COMMENCED ACROSS SERN TX AS
EVIDENCED BY MID-LEVEL CONVECTION EXPANDING NEWD FROM NUEVO
LEON/COAHUILA. STRONGEST LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS...ALBEIT
WEAK...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND CONVECTION/
EMBEDDED TSTMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE POST-SUNSET.  THOUGH BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE WILL INCREASE...THE FRONT MARKING MORE QUALITY GULF
MOISTURE/STRONGEST INSTABILITY...SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE THROUGH 12Z.
 SO...DESPITE INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR...ONLY MODEST INSTABILITY
SHOULD MITIGATE THE SEVERE THREATS.  WILL MAINTAIN LOW PROBABILITIES
FOR AN ISOLD TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND EVENT...BUT EXPECT THE STRONGER
TSTMS WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE.

..RACY.. 11/19/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.