[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 182001
SWODY1
SPC AC 181959

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 PM CST THU NOV 18 2004

VALID 182000Z - 191200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BLI 30 SSE OLM
ONP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW 7R4 ELD 15 NE
HOT 30 SSW HRO 10 SW UNO 20 SE POF 20 SSW MKL 20 SW TCL 35 SE MOB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL/SRN LA...
19Z MESOANALYSIS PLACES A 1017 MB SURFACE LOW OVER NRN LA WITH A
FRONT SWD TO KLCH THEN SWD INTO THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO.  SMALL WARM
SECTOR HAS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS CNTRL/SRN LA. 
EARLIER BINOVC AND INFLUX OF MID-UPPER 60S DEW POINTS HAVE
CONTRIBUTED TO WEAK DESTABILIZATION.  BUT...POOR H7-H5 LAPSE RATES
ARE LIMITING OVERALL BUOYANCY AND MLCAPES ARE GENERALLY 250-500
J/KG.  MOREOVER...MOST OF THE LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED
WITH EJECTING MIDLEVEL TROUGH ARE TRANSLATING THROUGH THE OZARKS...
CONTRIBUTING TO WEAKENING LOW LEVEL MASS CONVERGENCE VCNTY THE
FRONT. PROSPECTS FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION DEVELOPING THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD APPEAR TO BE DIMINISHING AS A RESULT. 
THUS...THE UPDATED DAY 1 OUTLOOK CONTAINS NO SEVERE PROBABILITIES.

..RACY.. 11/18/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.