[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 110552
SWODY1
SPC AC 110551

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1151 PM CST WED NOV 10 2004

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW GLS 30 NNW HOU
LFK 25 NNE SHV 35 SSE HOT 50 SSE HRO UMN 50 NNW SGF 10 W JEF 10 ESE
BMG 10 SW UNI 25 SSW EKN 15 ENE LYH 35 ESE GSO 15 SSE CLT 35 N AGS
60 SE MCN 45 SE TLH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW MFE 40 S CRP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM EKA 25 ESE 4LW 35 NNE
OWY 20 NW MLD 45 NE RKS 15 S RWL 30 W FCL 55 S 4FC 35 S GUC 25 S 4BL
20 SE SGU 60 S BIH 10 SSW MRY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL GULF STATES/TN VALLEY...

STRONG UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER OK WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST AND
DEAMPLIFY OVER THE TN VALLEY/NRN GULF COAST STATES THURSDAY.  THIS
FEATURE WILL ENABLE DEEPER MOISTURE PLUME TO ADVECT NWD INTO THE TN
VALLEY REGION AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT SPREADS DOWNSTREAM.  THIS SHOULD
PREVENT SIGNIFICANT DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF WIND SHIFT AS
CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AND RAINFALL LIMIT HEATING TO A NARROW ZONE
FROM SERN LA INTO NWRN MS.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SBCAPE VALUES
WILL BE ROUGHLY 500-1000 J/KG...ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
UNDOUBTEDLY BE MORE THAN ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT STORM ROTATION.  GIVEN
THE MARGINAL THERMAL PROFILES...IT APPEARS THE ONLY MEANINGFUL
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE FROM ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS WITH
STRONGER STORMS THAT DEVELOP ALONG THE NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS. 
EARLY MORNING SQUALL LINE SHOULD ADVANCE ACROSS AR BEFORE DEVELOPING
SWD INTO LA.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD PROGRESS INTO WRN TN/NRN GULF
COAST STATES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS.

..DARROW.. 11/11/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.