[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 030058
SWODY1
SPC AC 030056

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 PM CST TUE NOV 02 2004

VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S
HUM GPT 30 NNW MOB 50 ESE MEI 35 S SEM 25 N PNS 30 WSW PNS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE BLI 40 NE SEA
35 E PDX 40 NNW MFR 30 NE ACV 40 SSW EKA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE BPT 55 N POE 10
SW SEP 40 N ABI 10 SSW CDS 10 SW CSM TUL 25 W HRO 55 WSW ARG 40 SSW
PAH 10 WNW BNA 35 S LOZ TRI 35 NNE CLT 45 W SOP 20 ENE CAE AGS 30
WNW MCN 40 WNW ABY 20 WNW AQQ.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM FAR SERN LA NEWD INTO SWRN
AL...

...CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...
EFFECTIVE SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDS ACROSS SERN LA / CENTRAL AL AND
INTO NRN GA ATTM.  THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT NWD AS A
WARM FRONT ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY / CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AS
WEAK LOW NOW OVER THE NWRN GULF MOVES NNEWD ACROSS LA THROUGH THE
END OF THE PERIOD AHEAD OF N TX UPPER LOW.

DESPITE THIS...ONLY LIMITED SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS LA / MS
WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD REMAIN STABLE AND OVERALL INSTABILITY
LIMITED.

SOMEWHAT GREATER SEVERE THREAT PERSISTS ALONG LEADING EDGE OF
LOOSELY-ORGANIZED LINE OF STORMS NOW EXTENDING FROM ROUGHLY 60 SE
MEI SWWD TO 30 S HUM -- I.E. SWRN AL AND FAR SERN LA.  WITH MOIST
AIRMASS CONTRIBUTING TO 1000 TO 1500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE AND
MARGINAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION...THREAT FOR A FEW
LOCALLY-DAMAGING GUSTS OR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  ELSEWHERE...EXPECT THREAT TO REMAIN LIMITED
THOUGH STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 11/03/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.