[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 300106
SWODY1
SPC AC 300102

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0802 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW
HUT 30 ENE RSL 50 ENE HLC 30 ESE BBW 15 N OFK 25 S SUX 50 ESE OMA
MKC 30 SE CNU 20 NNE BVO 30 NE PNC 25 ESE P28 20 WNW HUT.

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
GAG 40 SW RSL 45 NNE HLC 25 SSW BBW 40 ESE ANW MHE 30 N FRM 40 E MCW
20 NNE IRK 15 NW SGF 30 NW FYV 35 WSW MKO OKC 45 ESE GAG.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE
CDS 30 WNW LTS 15 NW GAG 20 S DDC 45 NE GCK 45 W HLC 25 WSW MCK 20 E
MHN 25 SW PIR 20 WNW MBG 50 NNW MOT 60 NNE DVL 50 NNE EAU 35 WNW CGX
20 ESE BLV 60 N LIT 15 ENE PRX 50 SSE CDS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE SAV 40 ENE MCN
25 W ATL 25 WNW BHM 40 SSE GLH 40 ENE SHV 35 SSE DAL 35 SW TPL 50 NW
LRD ...CONT... 35 ESE P07 35 E BGS 20 WSW CDS 40 SE LBL 10 WSW LBL
35 NNE CAO 35 ESE RTN 20 S 4SL 50 NNW INW 45 ENE GCN 20 E BCE 15 WNW
U28 40 W VEL 30 ENE SLC 55 SSE BYI 50 WNW SUN 45 N ALW 50 NNE 4OM
...CONT... 55 ENE ELO 30 W MQT 35 NE MKG 40 NE DAY 45 SSW PSK 40 WSW
HSE.

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS EVENING ACROSS ERN
NEB...SWRN IA...ERN KS AND EXTREME NWRN MO...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA
FROM CNTRL/NRN OK THROUGH ERN KS...WRN MO...ERN NEB...WRN IA...SERN
SD AND SWRN MN...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO THE ERN
DAKS TO THE MID/UPPER MS VLY...

...PLAINS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS H5 JET STREAK TRANSLATING ACROSS NWRN
OK...WITH STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT SPREADING INTO THE PLAINS AND MO
VLY.  GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF STRONG-SEVERE TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXIST
FROM NERN KS INTO ERN NEB ATTM ALONG/EAST OF 986 MB SURFACE LOW
SITUATED SCNTRL NEB.  STRONGEST PRESSURE FALLS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS
SERN NEB AND STRONGEST POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS AND LONG-TRACK
TORNADOES FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WILL EXIST FROM ERN KS INTO SERN
NEB.  LATEST RUC SUGGESTS THAT THE SLY LLJ WILL INCREASE INTO THE
50-60 KT RANGE WITH AXIS AIMED INTO THE LOWER MO RVR VLY THROUGH
LATE EVENING.  SUPERCELLS WILL GRADUALLY EVOLVE INTO A SEVERE MCS
AND MOVE ENEWD INTO PARTS OF IA AND SWRN MN WITH DAMAGING WINDS.  

FARTHER SOUTH...ISOLD TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE MOVING ACROSS CNTRL OK
AND SCNTRL KS. 00 UTC SOUNDING FROM NORMAN SUGGESTS THAT THE CAP IS
STRONGER THAN FORECAST AND SHOULD KEEP COVERAGE ISOLD THROUGH THE
EVENING.  THESE TSTMS MAY EVOLVE INTO A SMALLER MCS AND MOVE INTO
PARTS OF NERN OK/SERN KS/SWRN MO OVERNIGHT.  

...LOWER OH VLY...
LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER OH VLY HAS BEEN
PROVIDING SUFFICIENT LARGE SCALE ASCENT TO FOCUS A FEW TSTMS ALONG
THE WARM FRONT MOVING NEWD ACROSS THE LOWER OH VLY.  VWP FROM
PADUCAH SUGGESTS 0-1KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY OF AROUND 125
M2/S2...MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT BRIEF ISOLD TORNADOES. 
THIS ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS AND PROBABLY
WEAKEN WITH ONSET OF DIURNAL COOLING.

..RACY.. 05/30/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.