[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 280103
SWODY1
SPC AC 280100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE
PAH 55 N POF 15 S STL 10 E SLO 40 SE BMG 50 W EKN 15 ENE BKW 25 ENE
5I3 55 W LOZ 20 ENE PAH.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW
DRT 40 NE JCT 20 W FTW 30 SSE MLC 20 NW FSM 20 SSE JLN 40 S OJC 15
ESE MKC 20 NW COU 35 WSW MTO 35 E IND 40 N DAY 25 WNW CLE ...CONT...
20 NNW SYR 15 SW MSV 10 S ACY ...CONT... 35 N HSE 10 NW RWI 15 NE
HKY 25 NNW CHA 45 NNE UOX 35 SW PBF 20 S TYR 35 NNE SAT 60 WSW COT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N BML 25 WNW BOS
10 ENE GON.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE P07 40 NNW SJT
70 NW ABI 45 N CDS 30 NNE GAG 20 ENE P28 40 E ICT 30 WSW TOP 20 WNW
STJ 20 W P35 15 NNE UIN 20 WNW CMI 20 ENE LAF 15 NE FWA 20 E DTW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE MOT 25 SSW JMS
10 SSW ATY 40 W SPW 35 NW OMA 30 SW OLU BBW 60 E CDR 35 E 81V 30 SE
SHR 10 SSE WRL 35 E BPI 55 N PUC 20 N U24 40 NW ELY 25 NNE U31 40
SSW NFL 40 ENE SCK 45 SE UKI 55 W RBL 35 SW MFR 35 SW YKM 40 NNW
4OM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW CRE 30 SSE AHN
40 SSE GLH 10 ENE LFK 45 S AUS 25 S LRD.

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN MO ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SRN OH VALLEY INTO WV...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK FROM
SWRN TX INTO UPSTATE NY...

...OH VALLEY...

E-W ORIENTED MCS IS EVOLVING FROM ECNTRL MO...ACROSS SRN IL INTO SRN
OH AND WV.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SEWD INTO
VEERED LLJ THAT SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY INTO THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY LATE TONIGHT.  WITHIN THIS COMPLEX
MCS...EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES CONTINUE WITHIN A
VERY MOIST AND VEERED...BUT STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.  WITH
TIME...SW-NE ORIENTED BOW SEGMENTS MAY EVOLVE ALONG LEADING EDGE OF
DEVELOPING COLD POOL WHICH SHOULD ALLOW BOW ECHOES TO BECOME MORE
EFFICIENT WIND PRODUCERS.  IN THE SHORT TERM...VERY LARGE HAIL MAY
ACCOMPANY THE EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS.

...NERN TX TO AR...

WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS SHEARING NEWD ACROSS THE TX SOUTH
PLAINS TOWARD THE ARKLATEX.  PRONOUNCED MID LEVEL DRYING/SUBSIDENCE
IS EVIDENT ACROSS WEST TX WHICH WILL CONTINUE TRANSLATING EWD
TONIGHT.  INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND ASCENT SHOULD ALLOW
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP DOWNSTREAM ACROSS NERN TX INTO AR BY
LATE EVENING.  WIDESPREAD ELEVATED PRECIPITATION WITHIN THE MATURING
MCS APPEARS TO BE THE DOMINANT MODE...WITH MORE DISCRETE BUT SLOWLY
DECREASING SUPERCELL STRUCTURES OVER NCNTRL TX.  INCREASING SHEAR
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STORM ROTATION...HOWEVER LARGE
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS AS THIS
CONVECTION SPREADS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

..DARROW.. 05/28/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.