[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 280054
SWODY1
SPC AC 280052

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2004

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW
ALM 40 SSE ONM 30 WNW 4CR 45 E ABQ 25 NNE TCC 10 SE CAO 25 NE DHT 25
NNE AMA PVW 10 NW HOB 20 W CNM 20 SW ALM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW TUS 45 ESE IGM
50 SW LAS 30 E MER SAC 40 SSE MHS LMT 20 ESE PDT PUW FCA 45 S CTB 40
WNW 3HT 40 W SHR DGW AKO 45 WSW GLD 50 NNW GCK SLN MKC JEF 20 WSW
CGI 60 N MSL 20 ENE CHA HKY 20 ENE ECG ...CONT... 30 SSE VRB 60 SSE
FMY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW HOT 40 NW HOT
15 NNE PGO 15 S ADM 50 SSE CDS 65 ESE LBB 30 E BGS SJT 50 NE JCT ACT
25 NNW TYR 25 WSW HOT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW AXN 35 ESE BRD
25 SSW IWD 30 SSW IMT 10 N MTW 25 S MKE 25 WSW MMO 10 E BRL 50 NW
LWD 30 SSE SUX 20 NE BKX 50 WSW AXN.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NM AND THE
TX PANHANDLE...

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH ORGANIZED OUTFLOW WAS MOVING SEWD AT
25-30 KT THROUGH PORTIONS OF NERN NM AND THE NWRN TX PANHANDLE.
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IS RESULTING IN 30 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH
MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. REFERENCE WW 526.

...SERN GA AND NERN FL PANHANDLE...
FORWARD PROPAGATING CONVECTIVE LINE CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD AT 35 KT
THROUGH THE AREA...AND IF LINE MAINTAINS CURRENT MOTION...IT
WOULD REACH SERN GA COAST 04-05Z. VAD WIND PROFILES IN THE AREA SHOW
WLY FLOW AT 30 KT THROUGH A DEEP LAYER AND A SEVERE GUST OR TWO ARE
POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. HOWEVER...THE WIND THREAT SHOULD
DIMINISH AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS/STABILIZES THIS EVENING...SO
ONLY A 5% WIND PROBABILITY REMAINS FOR THE AREA.

...INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
CONVECTION IN NV EARLIER TODAY DEVELOPED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT
HAS SURGED NWD INTO SERN OR AND SRN ID. DESPITE THE WEAK DEEP LAYER
SHEAR...VERY STEEP LAPSE AND DEWPOINTS AROUND 50 ARE RESULTING IN
MLCAPES BETWEEN 1000-2000 J/KG. THERMODYNAMIC CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR STORMS TO PRODUCE BRIEF SEVERE WIND GUSTS OR HAIL
UNTIL AROUND 04Z...BUT THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE ISOLATED.

OTHER VERY ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE AREA...BUT THE STORMS SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE
STABILIZES FROM NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

..IMY.. 06/28/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.