[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sat Jun 19 00:44:00 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 190042
SWODY1
SPC AC 190041

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 PM CDT FRI JUN 18 2004

VALID 190100Z - 191200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM FSI 50
SSE CDS 50 N BGS 25 SE HOB 40 WNW HOB 45 W CVS 35 SSE RTN 15 ENE TAD
10 ENE LHX 40 E LAA 15 ESE GCK 25 SSW P28 35 NW OKC FSI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW BVE 25 E LFT 20
E LFK 50 E ACT 40 SSE SEP 30 N JCT 20 NNW DRT ...CONT... 15 WNW ELP
25 NW 4CR 40 N SAF 35 ENE DRO 40 NW 4BL 35 E P38 45 ENE NID 50 NW
NID 25 NNE SCK 20 WNW RBL MFR 45 N ONP ...CONT... 60 WNW 4OM 35 SE
63S 25 WNW MSO 10 N BTM 50 E WEY 10 E RIW 50 SSE CPR 25 SSW BFF 15 W
LBF 15 WNW GRI 30 WNW BIE 20 NW FLV 30 NNE COU 15 SW CMI 10 WNW MIE
30 WSW CMH 15 ENE PKB 15 ESE MGW 15 W AOO 25 NE PSB 10 NW ELM 45 NW
SYR ...CONT... 40 NW CAR 40 SW BHB.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...

SRN HIGH PLAINS CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE
FROM SERN NM...NEWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE.  THIS ACTIVITY HAS
DEVELOPED A BIT LATER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS...BUT APPEARS TO BE
EVOLVING INTO THE SAME TYPE OF STRUCTURE THAT WED/THURSDAY EVENING
MCS CLUSTERS EXHIBITED.  ONE COMPLICATING FACTOR TONIGHT IS THE
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW THAT IS SPREADING WWD ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE. 
THIS OUTFLOW MAY ENHANCE NEW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE TX PANHANDLE OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  ELY BOUNDARY LAYER COMPONENT...AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY...ROUGHLY 3000 J/KG SBCAPE ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...SUGGESTS AN UPWARD TREND IN CONVECTION WILL OCCUR OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.  AN ELONGATED MCS SHOULD EMERGE AND PROPAGATE EWD
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF TX INTO WRN OK/NWRN TX AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR EARLY ON...BUT DAMAGING WINDS MAY BECOME THE
PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT BY LATE EVENING.

..DARROW.. 06/19/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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