[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 060059
SWODY1
SPC AC 060055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2004

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E
EAU 25 ENE LSE 40 W LNR 40 N DSM 55 WNW LWD 30 S TOP 20 SE TUL 15 NE
PRX 60 WNW LFK 35 NW AUS 30 ESE FST 15 ENE CNM 30 WNW TCC 30 WNW CAO
25 N EHA GCK 30 SSW HLC 20 SSW BBW 20 NW MHE 40 SSE AXN 50 NNW EAU
25 E EAU.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NW
GGW 75 ENE LWT 35 WNW BIL 20 SSW BZN 15 NNE BTM 35 W GTF 25 NNW CTB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NW MOT 40 WSW P24
70 WSW DIK 20 SSW 4BQ 25 ESE COD 25 ENE IDA 40 NNW TWF 80 SSE BNO 55
SW BNO 65 NW BNO 10 NW PDT 35 S EPH 40 WSW YKM OLM 30 W BLI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE PSX 45 WNW NIR
30 SE DRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 ENE APN 25 NE FNT
10 WNW JXN 30 W SBN 20 SSE BMI 35 WNW MDH 30 E JBR 40 E GWO MEI 60
SSW SEM 25 WNW DHN ABY 65 N AYS 45 S CAE 15 SW FLO 30 NE CRE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE ELP 25 E ONM 30
N ABQ 45 ENE GUC 40 S LAR 10 ENE CYS 40 NW IML 20 SSE MHN 20 N 9V9
25 N HON 55 N ATY 15 NNE FAR 35 NW BJI 10 WNW INL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM TX TO THE UPPER MS
VALLEY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF MT...

...SOUTH PLAINS...

MULTIPLE EXPANDING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
PLAINS FROM THE TX PANHANDLE NEWD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KS.  00Z
SOUNDINGS FROM THIS REGION INDICATE SLOW SOUTHWARD PROPAGATIONAL
COMPONENT WILL FAVOR CONTINUED EXPANSION OF COLD POOL OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.  WITH TIME THESE CLUSTERS SHOULD MERGE AND BECOME AN
EXPANSIVE MCS BEFORE DRIVING SWD ACROSS THE TX SOUTH PLAINS AND THE
WRN HALF OF OK.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE COMMON AHEAD
OF THIS ACTIVITY.  MCS SHOULD PROPAGATE INTO NWRN TX AFTER MIDNIGHT
BEFORE SLOWLY WEAKENING DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...POSSIBLY
NOT BEFORE REACHING CENTRAL TX.

...UPPER/MID MS VALLEY...

TRAILING PORTIONS OF UPPER TROUGH AXIS CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE
SCATTERED CONVECTION FROM THE U.P. OF MI...SWWD INTO SERN SD.  AS
THE UPPER SHORTWAVE SHIFTS EWD...AND LLJ VEERS ACROSS WI INTO
ONTARIO...IT APPEARS THE STRONGER FORCING WILL SHIFT INTO A MORE
MARGINAL INSTABILITY ZONE WHICH SHOULD ALLOW CONVECTION TO GRADUALLY
WEAKEN ACROSS MN INTO THE MID MO VALLEY.  FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL AT TIMES.

...MT...

N-S LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS PROGRESSING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL MT AHEAD
OF VERY STRONG UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH. MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST
LLJ WILL INCREASE OVER ERN MT INTO SASKATCHEWAN OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WHICH WILL FAVOR MAINTAINING THIS LINEAR ORGANIZATION WELL
INTO THE EVENING HOURS.  STRONG INFLOW BUT MARGINAL MOISTURE WILL
LIMIT SEVERE THREAT TO ISOLATED REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING
WINDS AS THIS LINE LIFTS ENEWD TOWARD THE MT/CANADA BORDER.

..DARROW.. 06/06/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.