[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sat Jun 5 01:08:50 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 050106
SWODY1
SPC AC 050103

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0803 PM CDT FRI JUN 04 2004

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 N
DVL 40 ESE DVL 45 SE JMS 15 S ABR 25 NW BUB 45 N HLC 20 ESE DDC 30
SSE CSM 40 NNW MWL 15 SSW DAL 60 ENE ACT 30 N CLL AUS 15 SE JCT 35 S
BGS 45 W LBB 25 W DHT 40 SE LIC 10 S SNY 40 NNE CDR 15 E Y22 25 SSW
P24 55 NNE ISN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W FHU 70 NE SAD 40
S 4SL 45 NE 4SL 25 S GUC 55 SE VEL 40 S EVW 25 S MLD 25 WNW PIH 45
NNW SUN 55 N BOI 50 ENE BNO 60 NNE 4LW 60 NNE LMT 60 SE EUG 45 SSE
SEA 55 ENE BLI ...CONT... 25 NW ELO 35 N EAU 15 NW LSE 40 S RST 15
SSE SPW 30 SE SUX 15 ESE BIE 30 SSW EMP 30 W MKO 50 ENE PRX 40 NNW
ESF 10 S MCB 20 NW MOB 10 SSW DHN 40 SSW MCN 30 WNW AGS 40 SSE SPA
20 S CLT 25 ENE SOP 35 ENE RWI 25 ENE ORF.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS FROM ND
TO CENTRAL TX...

...HIGH PLAINS...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WORKED THEIR WAY OFF THE MOUNTAINS INTO
THE HIGH PLAINS REGION AND CURRENTLY EXTEND FROM WRN ND...SWD INTO
THE TX PANHANDLE.  THIS ACTIVITY IS SLOWLY CONGEALING INTO A LOOSELY
ORGANIZED N-S MCS-TYPE STRUCTURE...ESPECIALLY FROM SWRN NEB INTO THE
TX PANHANDLE.  IT SEEMS REASONABLE THAT A SLOW UPWARD ORGANIZATIONAL
TREND CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE LLJ INCREASES
INTO THIS ACTIVITY.  SWD PROPAGATION CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL...AND PERHAPS A WIND GUST IF BOW SHAPED ECHOES
CAN EVOLVE ALONG LEADING EDGE. NARROW AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY
AND THE RELUCTANCE FOR THE LLJ TO SHIFT EWD OVERNIGHT SUGGEST MAIN
SEVERE THREAT WILL HOLD MOSTLY ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS REGION.

...CENTRAL TX...

MULTI CELL CLUSTERS ARE CONVERGING OVER CENTRAL TX BETWEEN
ABI-SJT-ACT.  THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY BUILDING A COLD
POOL WHICH MAY PROVE EFFICIENT IN DRIVING CONVECTION A BIT FARTHER
SOUTH INTO THE HILL COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL IS THE MAIN THREAT.

...CAROLINAS...

SRN INFLUENCE OF UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH HAS YET TO MOVE OFFSHORE
WITH CONTINUED STRONG STORMS ACROSS THE COASTAL CAROLINAS.  WITH
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING IT APPEARS A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND WILL
OCCUR OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DARROW.. 06/05/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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