[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 270035
SWODY1
SPC AC 270034

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0734 PM CDT MON JUL 26 2004

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW IPL TRM DRA NFL
SVE 50 S 4LW 75 E 4LW 40 ENE BOI 50 NW 27U 25 SSE 3DU 15 S GTF 60 NW
HVR ...CONT... 70 NE MOT 10 SSE BIS 20 E PHP LAA LVS 4CR ROW BGS SAT
35 NW HOU 15 ESE POE GWO 50 SSW CKV 55 SSE SDF 30 SSW LUK 20 SSE IND
30 NNW LAF 20 NW CGX 15 ESE MKE 25 N GRR 10 SSW FNT 70 N MTC
...CONT... 30 NNW BUF 25 SE ROC 30 S BGM 15 NE ABE 25 ESE NEL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR ERN MT/WRN
ND/NWRN SD THIS EVENING AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW AND ATTENDANT LEE
TROUGH. STRONG DIABATIC HEATING ACROSS THIS AREA HAS CONTRIBUTED TO
MLCAPES OF 500-1000 J/KG WITHIN DEEPLY-MIXED BOUNDARY-LAYER
CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE T-TD SPREADS OF 40-50F. THOUGH VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND LARGE-SCALE FORCING WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS/MARGINAL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS OWING
EVAPORATIONAL COOLING WITHIN SUB-CLOUD LAYER/STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES. ACTIVITY SHOULD TEND TO WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT WITH THE ONSET
OF RADIATIONAL COOLING.

FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM GUIDANCE...PLEASE SEE MCD 1779.

...AZ...
CLUSTERS OF TSTMS REMAIN FOCUSED EARLY THIS EVENING ALONG THE
MOGOLLON RIM WITHIN WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. 00Z TUS SUGGESTS
THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS THIS EVENING WITH ANY
STORMS THAT CAN MOVE OR DEVELOP SWD/SWWD ONTO THE DESERT FLOOR.

FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM GUIDANCE...PLEASE SEE MCD 1780.

...NRN ROCKIES...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS COMPACT VORTICITY CENTER TRANSLATING EWD
ACROSS SRN ID. THOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS LIMITED...FORCING FOR
ASCENT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE IN CONJUNCTION WITH RELATIVELY DEEP AND
WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY-LAYER SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG WIND
GUST OR TWO WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS.

..MEAD.. 07/27/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.