[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 241257
SWODY1
SPC AC 241256

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 AM CDT SAT JUL 24 2004

VALID 241300Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE DLH BRD FAR 70
NNW GFK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW YUM 25 SSW IGM
45 SE SGU 50 NW P38 50 S NFL 35 SW TVL MHS 35 NE MFR 45 NNW EAT 30
NNW GEG 40 NNW BOI 60 SSE BOI 25 SSW TWF 30 W MLD 40 E PIH 35 SW 27U
50 NNW 27U BZN RAP BFF AKO 35 NE DHT 40 WNW GAG 25 NNE GAG 15 ESE
HUT 25 SSW MHK 45 NE MHK 35 SW UIN CKV TRI 35 S MRB 10 SSW PSM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN PLAINS THROUGH LOWER MS VALLEY AREA...

A SURFACE FRONT...PARTS OF WHICH HAVE BEEN REINFORCED BY CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOW...EXTENDS FROM W TX NEWD TO A WEAK SURFACE LOW IN SRN OK
THEN EWD ACROSS NRN AR AND INTO SRN TN. AN AREA OF ONGOING STORMS
PERSISTS FROM ERN OK AND KS INTO MO AND NW AR IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
SLOW MOVING MCV OVER ERN KS. MODERATELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
EXIST OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY AREA AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
WARM SECTOR FROM NE TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO BE RELATIVELY
FREE OF CLOUDS. GIVEN THE RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE...MLCAPE
FROM 2500 TO 3000 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ALONG AND S OF THE
SURFACE FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM NE TX/SE OK INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY AND PARTS OF THE SERN STATES. VERTICAL WIND AND SHEAR
PROFILES WILL BE WEAK AND SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL/PULSE STORMS.
HOWEVER...THERMODYNAMIC CONDITIONS APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR THE
STRONGER STORMS TO PRODUCE ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.


...CNTRL ROCKIES...

UPSLOPE FLOW HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...THE

THIS AIR IS ORIGINATING FROM A RELATIVELY COOL...MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD CLOUDS. THEREFORE THE BEST AREA FOR
POTENTIAL DESTABILIZATION WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CO AND
WY WHERE MLCAPE FROM 300 TO 600 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE. A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH DROPPING SSEWD THROUGH WY AND OROGRAPHIC FORCING SHOULD
ENHANCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS AS THE ATMOSPHERE
DESTABILIZES THIS AFTERNOON. SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
UPDRAFT ROTATION WITHIN THE STRONGER CELLS WITH THREAT OF ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL.

..DIAL/BANACOS.. 07/24/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.