[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Dec 8 16:17:10 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 081614
SWODY1
SPC AC 081612

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1012 AM CST WED DEC 08 2004

VALID 081630Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E CRP CLL HOT JBR
BWG LOZ HSS AND MCN 10 WNW PFN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN NM...ALONG WITH
SECONDARY SYSTEM UT/AZ...WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY TONIGHT.  SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE LIES JUST
OFF THE TX/LA COAST.  STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD
OF THE TROUGHS WILL MOVE THE BOUNDARY RAPIDLY NORTHWARD.  GULF
MOISTURE IS LIKELY TO MOVE ASHORE NEAR GLS/LCH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
DEWPOINTS NEAR 70F.  ETA FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MUCAPE VALUES OF
UP TO 1500 J/KG...ALTHOUGH THE 09Z ETAKF SOLUTION INDICATES A
STRONGER MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND WEAKER INSTABILITY. 
REGARDLESS...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF
GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...OR PERHAPS A TORNADO.  STORMS SHOULD SPREAD
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE TN VALLEY OVERNIGHT...WITH A PERSISTENT
MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT.

..HART.. 12/08/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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