[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 010524
SWODY1
SPC AC 010522

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2004

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE EFK 10 SW EPM
...CONT... 30 SE EWN NHK 15 NE CXY 15 NW BUF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
THE UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE MS RVR WILL AMPLIFY AND
QUICKLY TRANSLATE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  A COLD
FRONT...SITUATED ALONG THE CREST OF THE APPALACHIANS AT THE START OF
THE PERIOD...WILL SWEEP EWD AND OFF THE ERN SEABOARD BY LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  THERE WILL BE TWO MAIN AREAS FOR POTENTIAL
NON-SEVERE TSTMS...1/ ERN MID-ATLANTIC-NEW ENGLAND AND 2/ ERN NC
AREA.

1/  STRONGEST DCVA ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM
CNTRL PA/NY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND INTO NEW ENGLAND BY LATE
AFTERNOON.  INSTABILITY WILL BE MINIMAL...BUT SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT
ELEVATED PARCELS MAY BE FORCED TO AOB MINUS 20C.  THUS...SPORADIC
LIGHTNING MAY ACCOMPANY THE UPPER TROUGH... PARTICULARLY FROM CNTRL
NY/ERN PA NEWD TO SRN NEW ENGLAND.  

2/ FARTHER S...ISOLD TSTMS MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT AS IT APPROACHES
THE OUTER BANKS OF NC. STRONGER INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...
THOUGH...AND GIVEN WEAKENING CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT...THE
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR THUNDER WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AND MAINLY IN
THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.

..RACY.. 12/01/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.