[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 010052
SWODY1
SPC AC 010050

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2004

VALID 010100Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW BVE 40 E LUL
35 SW BNA 15 NNE LUK 20 SSE UNI 25 WNW BKW 20 N GSP 30 E CSG 25 SSE
CEW.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS THE MID MS VLY THIS
EVENING AND WILL MOVE TOWARD THE OH VLY BY 12Z.  RATHER EXPANSIVE
WARM CONVEYOR CONTINUES TO SUPPORT RAIN/EMBEDDED TSTMS FROM THE
CNTRL GULF COAST INTO THE UPPER OH VLY.  

THE STRONGEST TSTMS THROUGH THE DAY HAVE BEEN FAVORING THE COLD
FRONT ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COASTAL AREA WHERE INSTABILITY HAS BEEN
RELATIVELY HIGHER.  BUT...GIVEN THAT STRONGEST LARGE SCALE ASCENT
WILL BE PASSING NORTH OF THE REGION...DECREASING INSTABILITY AND
REMNANT CAP AHEAD OF THE FRONT...TSTM INTENSITY/NUMBER WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE A DOWNWARD TREND ACROSS SRN AL.  

FARTHER NORTH...THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN HAS MOISTENED YIELDING WEAK
BUOYANCY. GIVEN STRONGER LARGE SCALE ASCENT YET TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA...A FEW ELEVATED PARCELS MAY BE FORCED TO A COLD ENOUGH LAYER
/BELOW MINUS 20C/ TO PRODUCE SPORADIC LIGHTNING OVERNIGHT FROM THE
MID TN VLY TO THE OH RVR.

..RACY.. 12/01/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.