[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Aug 31 00:33:01 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 310031
SWODY1
SPC AC 310028

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 PM CDT MON AUG 30 2004

VALID 310100Z - 311200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W INL 15 S STC 15
N FRM 50 WSW FOD 15 E STJ 30 S OJC 40 E GAG 10 S LTS 35 N BWD 50 NW
AUS 35 SE CLL 30 NW BPT 20 SSW ESF 30 E HEZ 35 NW LUL 15 NE MEI 25
NE TCL 30 E HSV 10 ESE LOZ 25 NNW ROC ...CONT... 35 WSW FHU 35 NE
INW 25 SSW ASE 20 NW CYS 45 WSW RAP 15 WNW REJ 10 WSW GDV 20 NNW GGW
40 NNE HVR.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN PLAINS...
ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED EARLY THIS EVENING OVER THE CNTRL
DAKOTAS ALONG WARM FRONT WITHIN DEEPLY-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WITH 50+
DEGREE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. DESPITE THE LIMITED MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST
OR TWO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE ERN
DAKOTAS/WRN MN WITHIN WAA REGIME ALONG NOSE OF STRENGTHENING SWLY
LLJ. THOUGH SOME SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...CONTINUED WEAK
INSTABILITY AND RELATIVELY WARM THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SHOULD TEND
TO SUPPRESS LARGE HAIL PRODUCTION.

...ERN CO/WRN KS...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER ERN CO WITHIN
STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL AIRMASS OBSERVED IN THE 00Z DNR SOUNDING.
POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUST OR MARGINAL HAIL
OCCURRENCE WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR ERN CO/FAR WRN KS THROUGH
03 OR 04Z...PRIOR TO COOLING STABILIZATION OF BOUNDARY-LAYER.

...TIDEWATER REGION...
PER 00Z WAL SOUNDING...POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL EXIST
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AHEAD OF REMNANT GASTON CIRCULATION MOVING
NEWD ACROSS CHESAPEAKE BAY. THIS THREAT SHOULD END BY 04 OR 05Z AS
CIRCULATION MOVES OFFSHORE.

..MEAD.. 08/31/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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