[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Mon Aug 30 20:06:50 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 302005
SWODY1
SPC AC 302002

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0302 PM CDT MON AUG 30 2004

VALID 302000Z - 311200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S
PSM 40 SSW ALB 35 SSW UCA 25 N UCA 20 SW MWN PWM 20 S PSM.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E
ECG 55 NNE RWI 25 SE LYH 15 SSW SHD 40 WSW DCA 25 SE DCA 25 ENE SBY.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE
HOB 30 SSW CVS 20 SE TCC 50 E TCC 30 W CDS 50 SSW CDS 60 NW ABI 20
NNE BGS 15 NE HOB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW FHU 35 NE INW
25 SSW ASE 20 NW CYS 45 WSW RAP 15 WNW REJ 35 WSW GDV 25 SSE HVR 50
WNW CTB ...CONT... 30 W INL 15 S STC 40 E YKN 35 E OLU 15 E STJ 30 S
OJC 30 SSE END 10 SW FSI 30 NNE BWD 50 NW AUS 40 S CLL 20 NNW BPT 20
SSW ESF 30 E HEZ 35 NW LUL 15 NE MEI 35 W TCL 20 WNW MSL 30 E BWG 25
ENE ERI.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR GASTON ACROSS THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC REGION...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...

...MIDDLE ATLANTIC...

REMNANTS OF GASTON ARE LIFTING NNEWD ACROSS SERN VA.  WITH
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION INLAND...IT APPEARS BOUNDARY
LAYER HEATING WILL BE LIMITED TO SERN MD THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 
STRONGEST SHEAR IS ALSO ACROSS THIS REGION AND THIS APPEARS TO BE
WHERE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL EXIST THE
REST OF THE PERIOD.

...NEW ENGLAND...

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS SRN NEW
ENGLAND...WELL AHEAD OF TROPICAL INFLUENCE FROM GASTON.  THIS
ACTIVITY IS LIFTING NWD INTO ZONE OF STRONGER HEATING/INSTABILITY
FROM MA INTO SRN NY.  LATEST DATA SUGGEST SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER
SHEAR EXISTS ACROSS THIS ZONE FOR ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS.  LOSS OF HEATING WILL RESULT IN
WEAKENING UPDRAFTS.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...

OUTFLOW FROM EARLY MORNING MCS IS MOVING SWWD INTO THE TX SOUTH
PLAINS.  CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF MOSTLY PULSE-TYPE UPDRAFTS HAVE
DEVELOPED ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...AND WELL AHEAD OF WIND SHIFT INTO
THE MAF REGION.  STRONG LOW LEVEL HEATING SHOULD CONTINUE TO AID NEW
DEVELOPMENT WWD INTO ERN PORTIONS OF NM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
 IN ADDITION...IF SUFFICIENT PRECIPITATION CAN EVOLVE ALONG LONGER
LIVED OUTFLOW...THIS MAY SERVE TO DRIVE A SOMEWHAT MORE ORGANIZED
BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS SWWD INTO THE LBB AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

..DARROW.. 08/30/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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