[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 280100
SWODY1
SPC AC 280057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW
HUF 30 W MDH 35 WNW FYV 20 WNW ADM 10 E ABI 10 WNW SJT MAF 50 ENE
HOB 40 SW CDS 35 WNW END 30 WNW FLV 10 SE LWD 10 WSW BRL 15 E PIA 20
N CMI 30 SW HUF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W CAR 20 WNW LCI
20 SSE MSV 25 SSE MRB 25 S ROA 40 SSW GSO 15 ESE SOP 20 N HSE
...CONT... 20 E PSX 45 N HOU 30 SSE SHV 10 ENE TXK 30 ENE PRX 25 S
FTW 35 E JCT 70 SSE DRT ...CONT... 10 SSW DUG 40 WSW SVC 40 NE ELP
25 S 4CR 30 E ABQ 25 SE DRO 40 NE 4BL 20 S U28 30 SSW SLC 30 SW SUN
20 S S80 55 NE 63S ...CONT... 45 NE HVR 20 SE LWT 50 NE COD 30 SE
WRL 30 SSE CPR 15 ENE CYS 15 NE AKO 55 SSE AKO 10 NNW LAA 35 WNW EHA
50 SSW LBL 15 NE GAG 25 SSW HUT 20 N MHK 40 S FOD 30 W ALO 30 ENE
MKE 45 N MTC.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MID MS VALLEY TO SRN
PLAINS...

...MID MS VALLEY TO SRN PLAINS...

CONVECTION IS SLOWLY ORGANIZING ALONG COLD FRONT FROM NWRN
OK...ACROSS SERN KS INTO NWRN MO.  THIS ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING
WITHIN A ZONE OF STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SBCAPE VALUES ON
THE ORDER OF 4000J/KG. 00Z SOUNDINGS FAVOR LINEAR UPDRAFT EVOLUTION
WITH SEWD MOVEMENT EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS SFC FRONT ACCELERATES
AFTER DARK FORCING CONVECTION ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SERN KS INTO
CENTRAL OK.

FARTHER NORTHEAST...SOMEWHAT STRONGER LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
APPEARS RESPONSIBLE FOR EXPANDING CONVECTION OVER NRN MO.  THIS
ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVE INTO AN MCS THAT WILL SAG SEWD INTO CENTRAL MO
OVER THE NEXT 2-4HR.

MARGINAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND CURRENT STORM MODE SUGGEST LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS BEFORE DIURNAL COOLING RESULTS IN WEAKENING LAPSE
RATES/UPDRAFTS.

..DARROW.. 08/28/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.