[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 141632
SWODY1
SPC AC 141630

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT SAT AUG 14 2004

VALID 141630Z - 151200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW
ILM 25 WSW GSB RIC 30 ENE BWI 25 NNW EWR 15 S BDL 15 WSW HYA.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S
BFF 55 ENE SNY 35 SSE GLD 45 ENE DHT 35 SW DHT 45 S RTN 40 W TAD 15
SSW CYS 10 S BFF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W CZZ 15 E RAL 25
NW RAL 25 SW PMD 20 NNW OXR 40 SSW BFL 25 SE BFL 50 S BIH 20 SSW TVL
25 S MHS 45 NW MHS 25 W MFR 35 E OTH 25 N OTH ...CONT... 50 NNE 63S
25 NE GEG 40 ENE LWS 40 ESE S80 50 W COD 10 N BPI 30 SSE DPG 55 NNE
BCE 35 SSW MTJ 40 W LAR 50 WSW RAP 30 W PIR 20 WNW MHE 15 SSE OFK 15
SE ICT 30 N OKC 40 SW DUA 35 W TPL 15 E HDO 25 S CRP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE PFN 25 SSW MCN
35 WNW AND 40 SSW PSK 25 SSW SHD 35 WSW DCA ABE 30 SE MSV BDL 25 SE
BOS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE RRT 45 NNE GFK
40 WNW DVL 10 NE ISN 35 N OLF 50 NNW GGW.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN NC TO SRN NEW
ENGLAND....

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS....

...ATLANTIC COAST...
THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL MOVE QUICKLY NNEWD FROM ERN
NC THIS AFTERNOON TO NEAR THE SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD.  ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY E OF THE PATH OF CHARLEY...THERE
WILL BE SOME THREAT FOR RAIN BAND SUPERCELLS AND A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES.  THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE SOMEWHAT GREATER THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ERN NC AREA COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER
N...MAINLY DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING THE SPECIFIC STORM TRACK
AND THE ARRIVAL OF THE STORM DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FROM
CHESAPEAKE BAY NWD.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S HAVE SPREAD NWD ACROSS ERN CO
INTO PARTS OF THE NEB PANHANDLE.  THOUGH LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WERE NOT PARTICULARLY STEEP IN THE REGIONAL 12Z SOUNDINGS...DAYTIME
HEATING SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON.  A CONTINUATION OF NWLY MID LEVEL FLOW AND SLY/SELY
LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL SUPPORT A THREAT OF WIDELY SCATTERED SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND A FEW STRONG OUTFLOW GUSTS.  THE
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE FOCUSED MAINLY DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS.

..THOMPSON/CROSBIE.. 08/14/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.