[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 131956
SWODY1
SPC AC 131954

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 PM CDT FRI AUG 13 2004

VALID 132000Z - 141200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW
PUB 35 ENE PUB 30 N EHA 45 ESE AMA 15 NW MAF 20 N GDP 30 NE ALM SAF
45 WSW PUB.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S
JFK 15 N POU 15 NNW PSF 20 WSW EEN 20 S PSM.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W
CTY 25 NNW SAV 40 ENE FLO 25 SE OAJ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE PFN 50 NE MCN
20 E AVL 10 SSW SHD 35 WSW PSB ERI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW RAL 15 NNE LAX
30 NE SBA 25 SSW BFL 55 NNE BFL 50 SSW TVL 35 SE MFR 50 SE OLM 40 NW
YKM 55 NNW BOI 50 SW ENV 40 ENE BCE 20 S MTJ 40 NNE EGE 20 N LAR 25
NW BFF AIA 15 E LBF 10 SSE RSL 50 SSW EMP 30 NNW MLC 45 WNW TYR 30
SE DRT.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF FL AND PARTS OF
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN NEW
ENGLAND...

...SYNOPSIS...
HURRICANE CHARLEY IS NEARING LANDFALL ALONG THE SWRN FL COAST
ATTM...AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NNEWD INTO NERN FL BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD.  MEANWHILE...HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED MID-LEVEL FLOW
PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CONUS WITH A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING
FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES SWD TO THE CENTRAL GULF AND A RIDGE
CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...FL AND THE SOUTHEAST...
EYEWALL OF HURRICANE CHARLEY IS NOW AFFECTING THE ISLANDS W OF
FMY...WHILE STORMS WITHIN SEVERAL OUTER BANDS ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA HAVE SHOWN SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS. A COUPLE OF TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED...AND EXPECT
ROTATING STORMS AND ASSOCIATED TORNADO THREAT TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE PERIOD ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL FL...E AND N OF THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION.  PLEASE REFER TO TORNADO WATCH 750 AND LATEST
ADVISORIES FROM THE NHC.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
STORMS NOW DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SERN CO / NERN NM
SHOULD INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS AIRMASS CONTINUES TO
DESTABILIZE.  LATEST AMA /AMARILLO TX/ WSR-88D VWP AND GDA /GRANADA
CO/ PROFILER SHOW WINDS VEERING WITH HEIGHT AND INCREASING TO 30 KT
FROM THE NW AT MID-LEVELS...RESULTING IN DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTIVE
OF SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THIS REGION...AND PERHAPS INTO THE TX / OK PANHANDLES WITH
ANY STORMS WHICH DEVELOP AWAY FROM THE HIGHER TERRAIN. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO WW 751 NOW IN EFFECT ACROSS
PARTS OF ERN NM / SERN CO.

...SRN NEW ENGLAND...
WEAK LAPSE RATES BUT MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS IS RESULTING IN AROUND
500 TO 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND...WITHIN
SMALL WARM SECTOR ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK HUDSON VALLEY SURFACE LOW.

SEVERAL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS -- ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF BONNIE -- WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THIS REGION
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON / EVENING.  WITH ENHANCED /30 TO 40 KT/
LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD ACROSS THIS REGION...A THREAT FOR LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS OR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL PERSIST -- AT LEAST
THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

..GOSS.. 08/13/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.