[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 131222
SWODY1
SPC AC 131220

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0720 AM CDT FRI AUG 13 2004

VALID 131300Z - 141200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE
ALS 35 E COS LAA 25 SE DHT 55 SW LBB 20 E CNM 35 WSW ROW 55 SSW LVS
45 NNE ALS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE
TLH 55 N AYS 45 NE CAE 15 WSW FAY 20 SSE OAJ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE CEW 35 W AVL
25 NNW SSU 35 WSW ERI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S VBG 30 NNW BFL
30 ENE SCK 40 SW MFR 25 WSW SEA 45 E SEA 15 SSW BKE 45 NE EKO 25 E
DPG 15 SE MTJ 40 NNE EGE 20 N LAR 25 NW BFF AIA 10 WNW MCK 40 SSW
RSL 15 SE HUT 30 ENE PNC 35 WSW MKO 35 SSE DAL 30 SE DRT.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SERN U.S....

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE SRN AND CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...

...SERN U.S...

REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WILL SOON LIFT NEWD ACROSS THE
OUTER BANKS REGION OF NC.  STRONGER LOW LEVEL SHEAR WHICH WOULD
SUPPORT SUPERCELL AND TORNADIC THREAT WILL SHIFT OVER THE WRN
ATLANTIC WITH ONLY LOW PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS OR
TORNADOES EXPECTED INLAND ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC/DELMARVA THE
REST OF THE PERIOD.

FARTHER SOUTH...HURRICANE CHARLEY IS MOVING STEADILY NWD TOWARD THE
WEST COAST OF FL.  INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND ATTENDANT TORNADO
THREAT WILL SPREAD FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA INTO
THE COASTAL CAROLINAS IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF MAIN CIRCULATION.

...CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...

BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS SUFFICIENTLY MOIST ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF
NM/CO FOR ANOTHER EPISODE OF AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  THIS
ACTIVITY WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP WITHIN FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR FOR
STORM ORGANIZATION...SFC-6KM SHEAR OF 35-40KT...GIVEN THE SELY-NWLY
VEERING PROFILES WITH ROUGHLY 30KT AT 500MB.  IT'S NOT OBVIOUS IN
THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT ANY SIGNIFICANT UPPER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL ROTATE SEWD ACROSS THIS REGION.  HOWEVER...AFTERNOON
HEATING SHOULD ONCE AGAIN PROVE FAVORABLE FOR TERRAIN-INDUCED
INITIATION WITH ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS THROUGH MID-LATE EVENING.  LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREAT.

..DARROW/BANACOS.. 08/13/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.