[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 060051
SWODY1
SPC AC 060049

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0749 PM CDT THU AUG 05 2004

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE
ISN 20 W Y22 30 NNE RAP 50 NW CDR 35 NW DGW 45 SSE SHR 50 ENE COD 45
SSE LVM 30 SW BZN 25 E 3DU 35 NE CTB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE YUM 50 N IGM 50
WNW MLF 15 N ENV 25 NW TWF 55 S MSO 45 S S06 25 SW LWS 45 E DLS 55
NNW DLS 55 ENE BLI ...CONT... 75 NE DVL 20 ESE HON 25 N HLC 25 NW
GAG 30 ESE CDS 45 W MWL 10 SW TYR 55 E MLU 25 NNE 0A8 20 NW AHN 20 S
RDU 25 SE ECG.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF MT AND NERN
WY...

...MT/NERN WY...

EARLY EVENING SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
APPROACHING CNTRL MT.  00Z SOUNDING FROM TFX SUPPORTS THIS WITH A
STRONG BACKING WIND PROFILE AT MID LEVELS...WHILE GGW STILL DISPLAYS
STRONG WARM ADVECTION THROUGH 700MB.  DOWNSTREAM...WITH LARGE SCALE
ASCENT EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF ERN MT OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS IT APPEARS ONGOING CONVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN SLOW
TO ORGANIZE...WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS IT ENCOUNTERS SOMEWHAT
HIGHER MOISTURE.  GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
EVOLVE OVER CENTRAL/NERN MT BEFORE SPREADING INTO WRN ND LATE
TONIGHT.  OTHER MORE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO NERN
WY WHERE FAVORABLE SHEAR WILL SUPPORT HIGH BASED POTENTIALLY
SUPERCELLULAR STRUCTURES.  DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION...ALTHOUGH LARGE HAIL IS
POSSIBLE.

..DARROW.. 08/06/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.