[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 232000
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232000 
KSZ000-NEZ000-232200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0952
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT TUE MAY 23 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...S CENTRAL NEB/PARTS OF NRN AND CENTRAL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 232000Z - 232200Z

SEVERE THREAT IS INCREASING ACROSS S CENTRAL NEB AND SWD INTO PARTS
OF KS. NEW WW MAY BE NECESSARY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

DESPITE PERSISTENT CAP...DEEPENING MIXED LAYER AND INCREASING
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF EJECTING UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH SUGGEST
THAT STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF S CENTRAL NEB...AND THEN
SWD ACROSS N CENTRAL KS...INVOF COLD FRONT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS. LATEST MCCOOK NEB AND GRENADA PROFILERS INDICATE SWLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW IN EXCESS OF 40 KT...WHICH SHOULD SLOWLY SHIFT EWD
ATOP INCREASING SLY LOW-LEVEL JET.  RESULTING SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A
THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS/SUPERCELLS...WITH COVERAGE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL JET/WARM ADVECTION
INTENSIFY.  IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS ALSO APPEAR
LIKELY GIVEN DEEP MIXED LAYER/POTENTIAL FOR EVAPORATIVE COOLING.

..GOSS.. 05/23/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

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