[MCD] SWOMCD
Mesoscale Convective Discussions
mcd at goshenarc.org
Tue May 23 20:03:58 UTC 2006
ACUS11 KWNS 232000
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232000
KSZ000-NEZ000-232200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0952
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT TUE MAY 23 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...S CENTRAL NEB/PARTS OF NRN AND CENTRAL KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 232000Z - 232200Z
SEVERE THREAT IS INCREASING ACROSS S CENTRAL NEB AND SWD INTO PARTS
OF KS. NEW WW MAY BE NECESSARY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
DESPITE PERSISTENT CAP...DEEPENING MIXED LAYER AND INCREASING
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF EJECTING UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH SUGGEST
THAT STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF S CENTRAL NEB...AND THEN
SWD ACROSS N CENTRAL KS...INVOF COLD FRONT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS. LATEST MCCOOK NEB AND GRENADA PROFILERS INDICATE SWLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW IN EXCESS OF 40 KT...WHICH SHOULD SLOWLY SHIFT EWD
ATOP INCREASING SLY LOW-LEVEL JET. RESULTING SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A
THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS/SUPERCELLS...WITH COVERAGE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL JET/WARM ADVECTION
INTENSIFY. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS ALSO APPEAR
LIKELY GIVEN DEEP MIXED LAYER/POTENTIAL FOR EVAPORATIVE COOLING.
..GOSS.. 05/23/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...
41419829 40569715 38679775 37389890 37609975 38690059
40020031 41080039
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