[MCD] {Spam?} SWOMCD

Tue Mar 21 04:08:01 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 210410
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210409 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-210615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0340
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1009 PM CST MON MAR 20 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/SRN GA...CENTRAL/SRN AL...FL
PANHANDLE.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 105...

VALID 210409Z - 210615Z

TORNADO POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING ATTM.  FORMERLY SEVERE
BOW ECHO...WHICH PRODUCED MEASURED 51 KT GUST AT LSF AT 0233Z...HAS
MOVED INTO STABLE AIR ON NE SIDE OF WARM FRONT AND WEAKENED
CONSIDERABLY.  OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH ERN AL/WRN GA
CONVECTION IS MOVING SEWD ABOUT 25 KT ACROSS S-CENTRAL/SWRN GA ON
BOTH SIDES OF WARM FRONT.  GIVEN COOLING INFLOW LAYER AND
ORIENTATION OF THIS BOUNDARY WITH RESPECT TO MEAN FLOW...PRIND
ADDITIONAL TSTMS FORMING ALONG BOUNDARY SHOULD MOVE OVER MORE STABLE
AIR SOON THEREAFTER.

CLUSTER OF TSTMS NOW OVER CENTRAL AL IS SUPPORTED BY ELEVATED WAA
REGIME BEHIND INITIAL CONVECTIVE BAND...WITH MODIFIED MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOWING MUCAPES 500-1000 J/KG BASED NEAR 850 MB.  THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN ROOTED ABOVE SFC AS IT MOVES ENEWD TOWARD
WRN/CENTRAL GA THROUGH AT LEAST 06Z...WITH BACKBUILDING PSBL TOWARD
MS/AL BORDER.  MOST VIGOROUS EMBEDDED CELLS MAY PRODUCE MRGLLY SVR
HAIL AND STRONG GUSTS...AMIDST 50-60 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR.

..EDWARDS.. 03/21/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

31878828 32998810 33358543 33218444 32898397 32768356
32598334 32348325 31948298 31578282 31178291 30818372
30548411 30268461 29658528 29668538 29738552 30048559
30668617 31238671 31318711 31208747 31398779 

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