[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Mar 19 23:50:59 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 192352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192351 
TXZ000-NMZ000-200045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0321
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0551 PM CST SUN MAR 19 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS E-CENTRAL/SERN NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 192351Z - 200045Z

WW MAY BE REQUIRED SOON FOR PORTIONS TX/NM BORDER REGION FROM I-40
SWD TOWARD INK REGION.

WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS ARE DEVELOPING FROM CULBERSON COUNTY TX NNEWD
TOWARD TCC AREA...IN ZONE OF 250-800 J/KG SBCAPES AND 70-80 KT
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH SFC AIR MASS IS COOL WITH TEMPS 50S TO LOW
60S IN PROSPECTIVE INFLOW REGION...COLD AIR ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE
RATES WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SFC-BASED TSTMS AS FAR E AS INVOF
TX/NM BORDER.  ACTIVITY MAY CONTINUE MOVING EWD ATOP PROGRESSIVELY
MORE STABLE SFC AIR INTO TX PANHANDLE AND SOUTH PLAINS...WITH
CONTINUED RISK OF LARGE HAIL.

..EDWARDS.. 03/19/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

31400345 31400385 31580441 32330417 33320403 35020363
35470343 35490309 35210249 33480200 31650256 