[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Mar 14 03:41:58 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 140344
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140343 
TNZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-140515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0292
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0943 PM CST MON MAR 13 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...NWRN GA THROUGH NERN AND CNTRL AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 90...91...

VALID 140343Z - 140515Z

LIMITED SEVERE THREAT MAY CONTINUE FROM ERN TN..INTO NWRN GA AND
PARTS OF CNTRL AL NEXT COUPLE HOURS OR SO. HOWEVER...EXPECT TREND TO
BE FOR THREAT TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH 05Z AND WW 90 AND 91
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR FROM ERN TN SWWD
THROUGH CNTRL AL. ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE NARROW
AXIS OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY. THOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW AND
VERTICAL SHEAR REMAIN STRONG...TRENDS SHOULD BE FOR THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW TO GRADUALLY VEER AS A DEEP SURFACE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES
LIFTS NEWD INTO SERN CANADA. LATEST SURFACE AND VWP DATA ALREADY
SHOW THE LOW LEVEL FLOW STARTING TO VEER IN GA DOWNSTREAM FROM THE
ONGOING STORMS. A LIMITED THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING
WIND MAY PERSIST A WHILE LONGER. HOWEVER...STORMS ARE EXPECTED
CONTINUE AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND AS THEY MOVE TOWARD A MORE
STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.

..DIAL.. 03/14/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

33058717 35338557 35818483 36318329 32968614 

WWWW