[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Mar 9 19:53:42 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 091955
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091955 
ARZ000-MOZ000-092200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0209
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 PM CST THU MAR 09 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AR AND SCENTRAL/SERN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 091955Z - 092200Z

ISOLATED SVR STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF WW
51...CENTRAL AR AND SCENTRAL/SERN MO...IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 

LATEST VISIBLE SAT DATA SHOWS CLEARING TREND WAS PROGRESSING INTO
CENTRAL AR BEHIND SQUALL LINE OVER THE MS VALLEY. AS A RESULT THE
AIRMASS WAS DESTABILIZING AS /LIT WAS 70/62 AT 19Z/. GIVEN SATELLITE
TRENDS...THIS DESTABILIZATION SHOULD CONTINUE AND DEVELOP NWD INTO
SCENTRAL AND EVENTUALLY SERN MO OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT LITTLE CINH REMAINS AND THUNDERSTORM
INITIATION IS POSSIBLE ALONG DRYLINE ACROSS CENTRAL MO BY 20Z. GIVEN
UP TO 1000 J/KG OF MUCAPE AND MODERATE SHEAR/COLD MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

..CROSBIE.. 03/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

35199113 36669049 37339042 37329156 36699186 35609234
35009277 34059319 33979207 

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