[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions MCD at goshenarc.org
Wed Mar 8 18:33:50 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 081835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081834 
COZ000-WYZ000-082230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0190
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1234 PM CST WED MAR 08 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 081834Z - 082230Z

SNOW RATES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY 21Z WITH UP TO 2 IN/HR RATES
IN UPSLOPE AREAS ALONG FRONT RANGE.

WEAK SURFACE COLD ADVECTION WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS AS WINDS BACK AND INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT IN RESPONSE TO
DEEPENING PRESSURES TO THE SOUTH. JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE...WARM
ADVECTION WILL BE MAINTAINED WHICH WILL KEEP PROFILES SATURATED WITH
MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE EAST. TEMPERATURE PROFILES WILL MANAGE
TO COOL DESPITE THIS WEAK WARM ADVECTION AS UPPER SYSTEM DEEPENS.
GIVEN SEVERAL HOURS OF SATURATED AND COOLING PROFILES ALONG WITH
UPSLOPE FLOW...2-4 HOURS OF HEAVY SNOW ARE LIKELY.

..JEWELL.. 03/08/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS...

40940582 41130561 41080521 41020490 40880473 40660466
40500468 40150465 39920456 39680446 39480436 38880481
38820507 38970537 39860584 40530583 








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