[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jul 10 14:59:54 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 101459
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101459 
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-101630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1467
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0959 AM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ME

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101459Z - 101630Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH THE STRONGEST
TSTMS LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES TSTMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE HIGHER
TERRAIN FROM JUST E OF MWN TO APPROXIMATELY 65 NNW BGR.  12Z
UPPER-AIR ANALYSIS AND SOUNDING DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF
RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH VORTICITY
MAXIMUM LIFTING NEWD THROUGH VT/NH.  WHEN COUPLED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE BY
AFTERNOON WITH SBCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.  THOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK...THE STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IN THE MOST
INTENSE STORMS.

..MEAD.. 07/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...

45866780 45216788 44566958 43917117 44107172 44597168
45137109 45916957 46286874 46406820 

WWWW